K-State travels to soggy Austin today to take on the Texas Longhorns. It's a matchup of two teams who are headed in opposite directions. After a brutal early schedule and a quarterback change, Texas is trending up after beating Oklahoma two weeks ago. K-State handled its non-conference slate, but has lost three straight to start Big 12 play, including last week's historic 55-0 loss to Oklahoma.
Players to Watch
Passing: Joe Hubener, 56-123-4, 866 yards, 4 TD, 7.0 yards/attempt, 144.3 yards/game
Rushing: Justin Silmon, 60 carries, 285 yards, 4.8 yards/carry, 2 TD, 47.5 yards/game
Receiving: Deante Burton, 15 receptions, 222 yards, 14.8 yards/reception, 2 TD, 37.0 yards/game
Passing: Jerrod Heard, 50-87-2, 714 yards, 8.2 yards/attempt, 3 TD, 119.0 yards/game
Rushing: D'Onta Foreman, 53 carries, 328 yards, 6.2 yards/carry, 2 TD, 54.7 yards/game
Receiving: Daje Johnson, 14 receptions, 201 yards, 14.4 yards/reception, 0 TD, 40.2 yards/game
Heard is also Texas' leading rusher and by far its best offensive player. K-State's defensive line must keep him contained today, especially if Elijah Lee can't play.
Of course, if the field is as wet as is projected, then all bets are off about how this game will go. Rain should blunt Texas' speed advantage, including at quarterback. This could be a bar fight defined by the width of the tackle box.
The charts are below for you. Make of them what you will. To steal from Scipio's post earlier this week, the stat profiles for both K-State and Texas could be lagging indicators. In opposite directions.
It's hard to have optimism in the middle of a three-game losing streak. To say nothing of 55-0. Bill Connelly's S&P+ picks favor K-State in yet another tossup game. But again, consider lagging indicators. Vegas favors Texas by around a touchdown. With Heard's athleticism and K-State's depleted defense, I'll take the Longhorns.
Longhorns 24, Wildcats 20