clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

College Football Transitivity Rankings and Awards - Week 10

New, 9 comments

This week saw a few close calls, but the Transitivity Rankings don't understand "close". Consequently, not much has changed at the top of the rankings.

Bulldogs rejoice! You've retained the top spot in this week's rankings.
Bulldogs rejoice! You've retained the top spot in this week's rankings.
Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

After a few upset bids fell just short, the top of the Transitivity Rankings lay mostly unchanged from last week. As always, if you're new here please check out the explanatory post found here. If you're a return reader, you may want to skim the following glossary of terminology specific to these posts:

  • Win path: A transitive argument for one team over another. For example, you might argue that Kansas State is better than Western Michigan this season since K-State beat Iowa State, who in turn beat Toledo, who has beaten Western Michigan.
  • Path length: The number of games in a transitive argument. The path in the above example has length 3.
  • Loss path: Exactly like a win path, but reversed.
  • Win Transitivity Rankings (WTR): A ranking of FBS teams calculated exclusively from win paths. It roughly measures the strength of a team's wins.
  • Loss Transitivity Rankings (LTR): A ranking of FBS teams calculated exclusively from loss paths. It roughly measures how bad a team's losses have been.
  • Combined Transitivity Rankings (CTR): The star of these posts. It's calculated by averages a team's rankings in the WTR and LTR.
  • The cluster: After of sufficient number of games have been played, there is always a large group of teams in the middle of the rankings who all have win paths to each other. We call this group of teams the cluster.

After 10 weeks of play, the Combined Transitivity Rankings are as follows:

Combined Transitivity Rankings
Rank Team Change Avg Rank Win Rank Loss Rank Num Win Paths Avg Win Path Num Loss Paths Avg Loss Path FBS Wins FBS Losses
1 Mississippi State - 1.0 1 1 124 3.65 0 NaN 8 0
2 Auburn - 3.0 2 4 123 3.30 1 1.00 7 1
3 LSU - 5.0 3 7 121 3.55 2 1.00 6 2
4 Florida State - 6.0 11 1 114 3.44 0 NaN 7 0
4 Kansas State - 6.0 6 6 118 4.08 2 1.50 6 1
4 Mississippi - 6.0 4 8 120 3.39 3 1.33 7 2
7 Alabama - 7.0 5 9 119 3.64 4 2.00 7 1
8 Marshall - 7.5 14 1 112 4.70 0 NaN 7 0
9 Notre Dame - 8.0 12 4 112 3.43 1 1.00 7 1
10 Oklahoma Arrow_up1 9.5 7 12 117 3.72 9 3.00 6 2
10 TCU - 9.5 8 11 117 4.03 9 3.67 6 1
12 Baylor - 11.5 10 13 117 4.35 9 2.89 6 1
12 Texas A&M Arrow_up1 11.5 13 10 112 4.15 5 1.40 5 3
12 West Virginia Arrow_up1 11.5 9 14 117 4.15 9 2.11 5 3
15 Louisiana Tech - 15.5 16 15 112 4.89 10 3.30 6 2
15 Oklahoma State - 15.5 15 16 112 4.74 11 2.00 4 4
17 Nebraska - 18.5 20 17 111 3.56 119 9.04 7 1
18 Michigan State - 19.5 21 18 111 3.66 119 8.10 6 1
18 Oregon Arrow_up2 19.5 17 22 111 3.26 119 7.16 7 1
20 UCLA Arrow_up1 21.5 18 25 111 3.36 119 7.02 7 2
21 Georgia Arrow_down2 22.5 19 26 111 3.47 119 6.90 6 2
22 Arizona State Arrow_up4 24.0 29 19 111 3.89 119 8.00 6 1
23 Colorado State Arrow_up3 25.0 27 23 111 3.80 119 7.09 7 1
24 Clemson Arrow_down2 26.0 32 20 111 3.95 119 7.78 5 2
25 Arizona Arrow_down1 28.0 24 32 111 3.73 119 6.18 6 2
26 Boise State Arrow_up5 29.0 25 33 111 3.75 119 6.12 6 2
27 Utah Arrow_down4 29.5 22 37 111 3.67 119 6.06 5 2
28 Duke Arrow_up1 34.5 43 26 111 4.16 119 6.90 6 1
29 Florida Arrow_up19 36.0 37 35 111 4.04 119 6.09 4 3
29 Miami (Fl) Arrow_up1 36.0 30 42 111 3.90 119 5.92 5 3
29 Tennessee Arrow_up21 36.0 42 30 111 4.13 119 6.82 3 5
32 South Carolina Arrow_down6 37.0 33 41 111 3.98 119 5.95 3 5
33 Georgia Tech Arrow_down9 38.5 28 49 111 3.86 119 5.62 6 2
33 Washington Arrow_up2 38.5 53 24 111 4.48 119 7.03 5 3
35 Nevada Arrow_up7 39.5 40 39 111 4.07 119 5.99 5 3
36 Iowa Arrow_down3 40.5 31 50 111 3.91 119 5.61 5 2
37 Ohio State Arrow_down2 41.5 23 60 111 3.72 119 5.21 7 1
37 Utah State Arrow_up9 41.5 45 38 111 4.21 119 6.03 5 3
39 California Arrow_down2 42.5 56 29 111 4.51 119 6.86 4 4
40 Stanford Arrow_up4 43.5 53 34 111 4.48 119 6.10 4 4
40 Wisconsin Arrow_down1 43.5 39 48 111 4.06 119 5.65 5 2
42 Maryland Arrow_up2 45.0 34 56 111 3.99 119 5.30 5 3
43 Missouri Arrow_down1 46.0 34 58 111 3.99 119 5.23 6 2
44 Arkansas Arrow_down6 46.5 72 21 111 5.05 119 7.75 3 5
45 Kentucky Arrow_down11 47.5 59 36 111 4.58 119 6.08 4 4
46 Louisville Arrow_down7 50.5 47 54 111 4.24 119 5.45 5 3
46 Minnesota Arrow_down7 50.5 49 52 111 4.29 119 5.50 5 2
48 Air Force Arrow_up13 51.0 44 58 111 4.17 119 5.23 5 2
48 Iowa State Arrow_down1 51.0 62 40 111 4.68 119 5.96 2 5
50 Boston College Arrow_up18 52.0 26 78 111 3.77 119 4.61 5 3
51 USC Arrow_down2 53.5 50 57 111 4.31 119 5.24 6 3
52 Rutgers Arrow_up4 54.5 48 61 111 4.26 119 5.20 4 4
53 Michigan Arrow_up15 56.0 57 55 111 4.54 119 5.39 4 5
54 Penn State Arrow_up5 57.5 45 70 111 4.21 119 4.76 4 4
55 East Carolina Arrow_down24 58.0 50 66 111 4.31 119 4.88 5 2
56 Arkansas State Arrow_up7 59.0 71 47 111 5.04 119 5.66 4 3
56 UL Lafayette Arrow_up5 59.0 90 28 111 5.66 119 6.88 4 3
58 BYU Arrow_down1 60.0 38 82 111 4.05 119 4.59 5 4
59 Washington State Arrow_up1 63.0 61 65 111 4.65 119 5.10 1 7
60 North Carolina Arrow_down8 64.0 55 73 111 4.50 119 4.66 3 5
60 UTEP Arrow_down7 64.0 97 31 111 5.91 119 6.58 5 3
62 Northwestern Arrow_down4 64.5 58 71 111 4.56 119 4.74 2 5
62 Virginia Tech Arrow_down9 64.5 36 93 111 4.02 119 4.24 3 5
64 Virginia Arrow_down9 65.5 52 79 111 4.46 119 4.61 3 5
65 Texas Arrow_up2 66.0 70 62 111 4.98 119 5.18 4 5
66 Texas Tech Arrow_down15 69.5 93 46 111 5.77 119 5.72 2 6
66 Wyoming Arrow_up9 69.5 60 79 111 4.60 119 4.61 3 5
68 Illinois Arrow_down5 70.5 64 77 111 4.80 119 4.63 3 5
69 Oregon State Arrow_up4 71.5 99 44 111 6.16 119 5.87 3 4
69 Pittsburgh Arrow_down3 71.5 41 102 111 4.11 119 4.03 3 5
71 North Carolina State Arrow_up17 72.0 82 62 111 5.32 119 5.18 4 4
72 Toledo Arrow_up3 72.5 78 67 111 5.23 119 4.87 4 3
73 Northern Illinois Arrow_up5 74.0 73 75 111 5.09 119 4.66 5 2
74 Indiana Arrow_down2 74.5 66 83 111 4.90 119 4.52 2 5
74 Kansas Arrow_down4 74.5 96 53 111 5.89 119 5.46 1 6
76 Colorado Arrow_up5 76.5 102 51 111 6.25 119 5.60 2 7
76 Memphis Arrow_up3 76.5 85 68 111 5.52 119 4.85 4 3
76 Rice Arrow_up1 76.5 81 72 111 5.30 119 4.71 5 3
79 Cincinnati Arrow_up5 77.5 86 69 111 5.54 119 4.84 5 3
80 Central Florida Arrow_down15 78.0 63 93 111 4.70 119 4.24 4 3
81 South Alabama Arrow_down11 78.5 114 43 111 7.78 119 5.91 5 3
81 Temple Arrow_up27 78.5 65 92 111 4.89 119 4.26 4 3
83 Syracuse Arrow_down10 79.5 95 64 111 5.84 119 5.17 2 6
84 Purdue Arrow_down2 80.0 76 84 111 5.19 119 4.51 2 6
85 Georgia Southern Arrow_down3 81.5 118 45 111 8.66 119 5.76 6 2
86 Western Michigan Arrow_down1 83.5 78 89 111 5.23 119 4.34 5 3
87 Middle Tennessee State Arrow_down7 84.0 83 85 111 5.48 119 4.50 4 4
87 San Jose State Arrow_up3 84.0 87 81 111 5.55 119 4.60 2 5
89 Akron - 85.5 68 103 111 4.95 119 4.00 3 4
89 Bowling Green Arrow_down3 85.5 74 97 111 5.11 119 4.15 4 3
91 Navy Arrow_up8 86.5 77 96 111 5.20 119 4.16 3 5
92 Central Michigan Arrow_down5 87.0 68 106 111 4.95 119 3.92 5 4
92 Houston Arrow_up3 87.0 75 99 111 5.14 119 4.13 4 3
94 Western Kentucky Arrow_down4 88.5 67 110 111 4.94 119 3.86 3 5
95 Hawaii Arrow_down3 90.0 89 91 111 5.58 119 4.28 1 7
96 Vanderbilt Arrow_up5 92.0 108 76 111 7.06 119 4.65 2 6
97 San Diego State - 92.5 98 87 111 6.13 119 4.37 3 4
98 Florida Atlantic Arrow_down5 94.0 84 104 111 5.50 119 3.98 3 6
98 UL Monroe Arrow_up2 94.0 115 73 111 7.86 119 4.66 3 5
100 UAB Arrow_down6 94.5 88 101 111 5.56 119 4.09 4 4
100 UTSA Arrow_up4 94.5 94 95 111 5.81 119 4.20 2 6
102 Connecticut Arrow_up25 95.5 91 100 111 5.68 119 4.11 1 6
103 Ball State Arrow_down8 96.0 80 112 111 5.25 119 3.71 2 4
104 New Mexico Arrow_up2 97.0 104 90 111 6.51 119 4.29 3 5
105 Wake Forest Arrow_down2 97.5 109 86 111 7.13 119 4.39 1 6
106 Ohio Arrow_down8 98.5 92 105 111 5.69 119 3.96 3 5
107 Texas State Arrow_up3 99.0 111 87 111 7.55 119 4.37 4 3
108 Tulane Arrow_up16 102.0 106 98 111 6.67 119 4.13 1 6
109 Old Dominion Arrow_down7 105.0 101 109 111 6.19 119 3.87 2 6
110 Fresno State Arrow_down1 106.5 107 106 111 6.77 119 3.92 2 6
110 South Florida Arrow_up8 106.5 105 108 111 6.62 119 3.89 2 6
112 Florida International Arrow_down5 107.0 103 111 111 6.34 119 3.76 2 5
113 Army Arrow_down8 108.5 100 117 111 6.17 119 3.38 2 5
114 Tulsa Arrow_up7 112.5 112 113 111 7.63 119 3.69 1 7
115 UNLV Arrow_down3 113.5 113 114 111 7.75 119 3.48 1 7
116 Kent State Arrow_down5 114.5 110 119 111 7.14 119 3.27 1 7
117 Miami (Oh) Arrow_down5 116.0 116 116 111 8.05 119 3.39 2 7
118 Buffalo Arrow_down3 117.0 119 115 111 9.03 119 3.41 1 5
119 Massachusetts Arrow_down5 118.0 116 120 111 8.05 119 3.21 2 7
120 Eastern Michigan Arrow_down4 119.0 120 118 111 10.00 119 3.36 1 7
121 Southern Miss Arrow_down4 121.0 121 121 6 1.83 120 4.59 2 6
122 Appalachian State Arrow_down3 122.5 122 123 3 1.33 121 4.40 2 4
122 Idaho Arrow_down3 122.5 123 122 2 1.50 120 3.87 1 7
124 North Texas Arrow_down2 124.5 125 124 1 1.00 121 3.96 1 6
124 Troy Arrow_down1 124.5 123 126 2 1.50 122 3.96 1 7
126 New Mexico State - 126.0 125 127 1 1.00 124 3.44 1 7
126 SMU Arrow_down1 126.0 127 125 0 NaN 122 4.15 0 7
128 Georgia State - 127.5 127 128 0 NaN 125 3.66 0 8

The lack of movement at the top is pretty impressive, especially considering what could have been. Both Mississippi State and Florida State came very close to dropping games to cluster teams. Had Arkansas or Louisville, respectively, pulled off the upset, these rankings would look much different. An Arkansas upset would have been particularly impactful, but we'll touch on that in the next section. As it stands, the top 18 teams from last week either stood pat or saw their rankings improve this week (possible because of ties). This includes Ole Miss, West Virginia, and Oklahoma State, all losers on Saturday who nevertheless developed no chinks in their transitive armor (losing to highly ranked Auburn, TCU, and Kansas State, respectively). Some other thoughts:

  • Georgia was the highest ranked team from last week to drop in this week's rankings, though perhaps not as far as you would expect. After a loss to Florida, the Bulldogs check in at number 21 in the CTR, down two spots from last week. In contrast, the AP voters dropped them eight spots from 9 to 17.
  • The biggest jump of the week belongs to Temple, who shot up 27 spots after taking down East Carolina. The Owls check in at number 81 this week.
  • The Temple-East Carolina game is also responsible for the biggest drop of the week, as the Pirates slid 24 spots. The CTR was already less enthusiastic about ECU than most polls, but after that result the Pirates find themselves at number 55.
  • The worst drop among last week's top 25 belongs to Georgia Tech, who fell nine spots from 24 to 33. What did the Yellow Jackets do on Saturday to deserve this fate? Lose to Virginia by negative 25 points. Which is to say, they beat Virginia by 25 points. So despite the decisive victory, their transitive resume became worse. This probably has to do with some of their earlier results becoming less impressive due to other outcomes. It probably also means that the CTR has no idea what to make of the ACC Coastal, just like the rest of America.

CLUSTER WATCH

The cluster is the large group of teams in the middle of the CTR who all have win paths to each other. This week, this group consists of the teams ranked between 17 and 120. As teams in the cluster have win paths and loss paths to the same number of teams, different rankings depend entirely on average path lengths.

Teams not in the cluster fall into one of two categories, the sub-cluster teams or the super-cluster teams. It is impossible to find a win path from a team in the sub-cluster to a team in the cluster. Similarly, it is impossible to find a win path from a cluster team to a team in the super-cluster. This week, the sub-cluster consists of teams ranked 121 through 128, and the super-cluster contains teams with rankings 1 through 16.

No teams fell from the super-cluster into the cluster this week. We came very close though, as Mississippi State, Florida State, Notre Dame, and Texas A&M all found themselves in tight games against opponents from the cluster. In fact, had Mississippi State lost, the super-cluster would have shrunk from 16 teams to just three! In this scenario, we would have seen Florida State as the number 1 team, followed by Notre Dame and Marshall. The rest of the current super-cluster would have fallen into the cluster with Mississippi State, with only average path lengths to separate themselves from the rest of the pack. Such a scenario would be great for highly-ranked cluster teams (e.g. Nebraska, Michigan State, and Oregon) who would likely be able to slip into the top 10.

On the flip side, four teams were able to escape the sub-cluster this week, all owing to a single result from Saturday. UConn, which ranked a second-to-last 127 in last week's rankings, pulled an upset over UCF to shoot up to 102 this week. This victory also served to pull Tulane and South Florida out of the sub-cluster, by virtue of these teams' victories over the Huskies earlier this year. Tulsa also benefited, as the Golden Hurricane's lone victory on the year came against Tulane.

Looking forward to next week, a handful of fixtures pit cluster teams against non-cluster teams. The following is a list of games involving sub-cluster teams (listed first) with an opportunity to pull themselves into a cluster by beating a cluster team:

  • SMU at Tulsa
  • New Mexico State vs. UL Lafayette
  • North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic
  • Idaho at San Diego State
  • Appalachian State vs. UL Monroe

Next is a list of super-cluster teams trying to fight off cluster teams. The list is pretty short, as many of the SEC and Big 12 cluster teams are playing each other, while the Mississippi schools are playing games against FCS teams, which the CTR ignores.

  • Florida State vs. Virginia
  • Notre Dame at Arizona State
  • West Virginia at Texas
  • Louisiana Tech at UAB

Lastly, we have a rare (for this late in the season) matchup of a super-cluster team against a sub-cluster team. If you were waiting for Marshall's undefeated run to come to an end, I wouldn't bet on it happening this week.

  • Marshall at Southern Miss

AWARDS

On to the awards section, where we acknowledge Transitivity Ranking performance worthy of recognition.

Jekyll and Hyde Award

Description:
For the team whose performances in the WTR and LTR are most divergent. This one's for the team which has experienced the highest highs and the lowest lows. Or perhaps the highest lows and the lowest highs.

Measure:
Maximum length shortest win path.

Winner:
Georgia Southern

Notes:
The Eagles have had a nice season in their first year as an FBS member, sitting at 7-2 on the year. Those two losses came in competitive away games against ACC teams NC State and Georgia Tech. Neither of those are really bad losses, and this is reflected in Georgia Southern's LTR of 45.

However, none of their wins have been particularly impressive. The Eagles own six FBS victories (half of them over teams in their first or second year as FBS institutions), but still sit at only 118 in the WTR. This difference of 73 spots was enough for the award, just ahead of South Alabama (WTR 114, LTR 43, difference of 71).

Are We There Yet Award

Description:
Not all shortest paths are created equal. Sometimes, teams have to work very hard to claim a win path, meandering tirelessly among the season's results before the path is earned. This one goes to a pair of teams for whom the shortest win path between them is longer than all other shortest paths.

Measure:
Maximum length shortest win path.

Winners:
Eastern Michigan, Louisiana-Lafayette

Notes:
The number of the week is 14, as all shortest paths this week involved 14 games or fewer. Further, each path of length 14 originates from Eastern Michigan, being the lengths of the Eagles' shortest paths to Arkansas, Clemson, Colorado State, UL Lafayette, and UTEP. My real-distance-if-you-road-trip-the-path tie-breaker gives the award to the Ragin' Cajuns, as the representative path covers 7772 miles, 460 miles more than the closest competitor. The particular argument looks like this:

Eastern Michigan > Buffalo > Miami (Oh) > Kent State > Army > Ball State > Central Michigan > Purdue > Illinois > Minnesota > San Jose State > Wyoming > Air Force > Boise State > UL Lafayette

Frequent Flyer Award

Description:
If you took all of one team's shortest win paths, and made them actual travel itineraries, for which team would you be making the most stops? To win this one, you need to have a lot of win paths, but you don't want them to be too short.

Measure:
Largest sum of shortest win path lengths.

Winner:
Eastern Michigan

Notes:
This is the Eagles' second win of the week, and the third week they've won this award. Eastern Michigan's 111 win paths sum up to 1110 total games, which is just over the 1001 game length of Buffalo's 111 win paths.

Conference Atlas & Coattail-Rider Awards

Description:
There are two awards here, one for the team which does the most to carry its conference's reputation on its shoulders (Atlas), and another for the conference black sheep who most disgraces his comrades (Coattail-Rider).

Measure:
The team whose CTR is highest above/farthest below the average among teams in its conference.

Winner:
Marshall (Atlas), Vanderbilt (Coattails)

Notes:
The Commodores are keeping the perfect season alive, and the Thundering Herd have now won this award four weeks in a row. I have nothing else to add.

In the conference-by-conference breakdown, we see that the SEC has again expanded its lead over the Big 12 for lowest average rank.

Conference Avg Conference Rank Atlas Atlas Rank Atlas Difference Coattail Hanger Coattail Rank Difference
AAC 93.00 East Carolina 55 38.00 SMU 126 33.00
ACC 52.00 Florida State 4 48.00 Wake Forest 105 53.00
Big 12 31.60 Kansas State 4 27.60 Kansas 74 42.40
Big Ten 48.79 Nebraska 17 31.79 Purdue 84 35.21
CUSA 84.92 Marshall 8 76.92 North Texas 124 39.08
MAC 100.00 Toledo 72 28.00 Eastern Michigan 120 20.00
MWC 70.25 Colorado State 23 47.25 UNLV 115 44.75
Pac-12 39.92 Oregon 18 21.92 Colorado 76 36.08
SEC 26.29 Mississippi State 1 25.29 Vanderbilt 96 69.71
Sun Belt 100.45 Arkansas State,
UL Lafayette (tie)
56 44.45 Georgia State 128 27.55
We Are Not Impressed Award

Description:
This award goes to the AP top 25 team whose reputation is most at odds with their transitive resume. Whatever human pollsters see in this team, the CTR is not buying the hype.

Measure:
The AP top 25 team whose ranking drops the most when compared to CTR.

Winner:
Ohio State

Notes:
The Buckeyes own an AP rank of 13 and a CTR rank of 37, a full 24 spot difference, and have now won this award twice in a row. Their closest competition this week was Wisconsin, who was hardly within their range (AP 25, CTR 40, difference of 15). OSU has been near the top for this award for much of the season, but a win this week in East Lansing would likely change that for good.

Desserpmi Ton Era Ew Award

Description:
Like the We Are Not Impressed Award, but opposite. Indeed, the name of this award is "we are not impressed" backwards.

Measure:
The highest CTR among teams receiving no votes in the AP poll.

Winner:
Louisiana Tech, Oklahoma State (tie)

Notes:
The Bulldogs and Cowboys are currently tied at 15 in the CTR. Given that they've only lost to super-cluster teams, they will remain in the top 16 until that changes. Among those outside the super-cluster, CTR 26 Boise State is the highest ranked team without a vote in the AP.

KANSAS STATE WIN PATHS

As no super-cluster teams lost last week, K-State didn't pick up win paths to any new teams. Their average path length decreased from 4.39 to 4.07 games. The shorter paths manifest themselves as a fatter win path diagram, which you can see below. As always, you can use the following depth list to help you find any team you choose.

Click to embiggen. - jeffp171/Bring on the Cats

  • Level 1: Iowa State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech, UTEP
  • Level 2: Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana Tech, New Mexico State, New Mexico, North Texas, Old Dominion, Southern Miss, Tennessee, Tulsa, Toledo, UTSA, West Virginia
  • Level 3: Arkansas State, Appalachian State, Ball State, Baylor, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Florida International, Georgia State, Houston, Indiana, UL Lafayette, Maryland, Massachusetts, Northwestern, Pittsburgh, Purdue, Rice, South Carolina, SMU, Tulane, UNLV, Utah State, Western Kentucky, Western Michigan
  • Level 4: Air Force, Akron, Army, Boston College, Bowling Green, Buffalo, BYU, Connecticut, East Carolina, Florida Atlantic, Fresno State, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Kent State, UL Monroe, Memphis, Miami (Oh), Missouri, Navy, Northern Illinois, Ohio, Penn State, South Alabama, South Florida, Syracuse, TCU, Temple, Troy, Texas State, UAB, Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Wisconsin
  • Level 5: Arkansas, Boise State, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Clemson, Florida, Kentucky, Minnesota, Middle Tennessee State, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Ohio State, Rutgers, San Diego State, San Jose State, USC, Virginia, Wyoming
  • Level 6: Arizona, Colorado, Colorado State, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Michigan, Nevada, Oregon State, Stanford, Washington State
  • Level 7: California, Miami (Fl), Oregon, Utah, Washington
  • Level 8: Duke, Michigan State, UCLA
  • Level 9: Arizona State, Nebraska
  • No Path: Alabama, Auburn, Florida State, LSU, Mississippi, Marshall, Mississippi State, Notre Dame, Texas A&M