Seven games down, five more to go. Since we are now officially over halfway done and bowl eligible for the first time this year, let's take a look at how accurate, or inaccurate, our
highly educated guesses have been up to this point.
So far our preseason voters carry a respectable 80% correct rate. Taking the Auburn and Oklahoma games out of consideration (26.8% correct and 42.2% correct, respectively), we would be sitting at an outstanding 98%. Adjusted for trolls and confused, that's 100%. So good job.
Somewhat expectedly, due to a more realistic idea of how both teams will perform, our in-season poll has an even more accurate overall vote. Sitting at a solid B-, 83.5% of the responders have guessed the correct outcome. And out of those who guessed correctly, 66.1% of you pinned down the margin of victory. Once again the Auburn and Oklahoma games proved to be the toughest to predict so far, with only 48.8% guessing the Auburn game correctly, and a just barely passing, if your instructor is generous (which I am), 69.5% for Oklahoma.
The Iowa State and Auburn games threw most people regarding the margin, with only 5.5% and 11.7% of people who picked the correct outcome picked the correct margin. Iowa State was understandable with their big loss to North Dakota State the week before, and most of those who voted for a loss greater than seven against Auburn were probably from the SEC.
Auburn had our most respondents with 471, and UTEP had our least with 172. The weekly average has been 343, which is much better than the 282 average response in mid-August.
|2014 Regular Season Schedule
|Win||Lose||L > 7||L = 7||Tie||W = 7||W > 7|
|8/30/14 6:10 p.m.||Stephen F. Austin||408||0||W 55-16||1||2||1||4||284|
|9/6/14 11:00 a.m.||@Iowa State||389||17||W 32-28||1||3||3||22||380|
|9/18/14 6:30 p.m.||Auburn||297||109||L 20-14||203||27||54||141||46|
|9/27/14 11:00 a.m.||Texas-El Paso||192||0||W 58-28||8||10||0||8||146|
|10/4/14 6:00 p.m.||Texas Tech||188||4||W 45-13||32||26||2||27||330|
|11/20/14 6:00 p.m.||@West Virginia||230||3|
Now let's talk Oklahoma State. The 'Pokes come to town for a primetime matchup before a national audience. After moving all the way up to 15th in the polls, they falling completely out of favor following a 42-9 thumping by TCU. Despite how young this team is, they have a human-highlight-reel in Jhawuan Seales and Tyreek Hill, who is quite possibly the fastest man in a 800 mile radius of wherever he stands.
According to the S&P rankings, Oklahoma State is the 49th best team in the country, sporting the 64th best offense and 42nd best defense. Vegas thinks we will win by two touchdowns, but you don't get the option of picking a margin that high.
You know the drill.