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The results so far:
| 2013 Regular Season Schedule |
|||||||||
| date | Opponent | Preseason Poll |
Result | Weekly Poll | |||||
| Win | Lose | L > 7 | L ≤ 7 | Tie | W ≤ 7 | W > 7 | |||
| 8/30/13 7:30 p.m. |
North Dakota State | 134 | 9 | L 24-21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 153 |
| 9/7/13 5:30 p.m. | Louisiana-Lafayette | 141 | 2 | W 27-48 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 42 | 95 |
| 9/14/13 6:00 p.m. | Massachusetts | 142 | 1 | W 7-37 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 123 |
| 9/21/13 | @Texas | 69 | 19 | L 21-31 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 91 | 84 |
| 10/5/13 | @O-State | 26 | 62 | ||||||
| 10/12/13 | Baylor | 77 | 11 | ||||||
| 10/19/13 | bye | ||||||||
| 10/26/13 | West Virginia | 88 | 2 | ||||||
| 11/2/13 | Iowa State | 88 | 2 | ||||||
| 11/9/13 | @Texas Tech | 71 | 19 | ||||||
| 11/16/13 | TCU | 41 | 20 | ||||||
| 11/23/13 | Oklahoma | 34 | 27 | ||||||
| 11/30/13 | @Kansas | 60 | 1 | ||||||
Mathletics is an interesting book and recommended if you enjoy your sports with numbers. Especially good about this book is the explanations at the end of each chapter that allow you to use a spreadsheet to duplicate the examples in each chapter and a section on what the bookies are trying to accomplish.
The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:
| Team | PW % |
| Baylor | .99997135 |
| Texas Tech | .99385927 |
| Oklahoma | .99287144 |
| Oklahoma State | .97727944 |
| Kansas State | .84360644 |
| TCU | .80663314 |
| Kansas | .730429 |
| Texas | .67759706 |
| West Virginia | .54726478 |
| Iowa State | .54574839 |
As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate. Next week I'll add a column for conference only games, which might be more accurate.
In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:
| Team | PY/A | DPY/A | RY/A | DRY/A |
| Baylor | 14.98 | 6.29 | 6.58 | 2.30 |
| Kansas State | 9.40 | 6.06 | 4.40 | 4.42 |
| Oklahoma State | 7.91 | 5.95 | 4.26 | 3.00 |
| Texas Tech | 7.60 | 5.73 | 3.63 | 3.37 |
| Texas | 7.57 | 6.33 | 5.10 | 5.39 |
| Oklahoma | 7.33 | 4.90 | 5.32 | 4.92 |
| Iowa State | 6.70 |
6.70 | 3.63 | 4.40 |
| TCU | 6.67 | 6.61 | 4.15 | 3.09 |
| West Virginia | 6.57 | 6.78 | 4.41 | 3.79 |
| Kansas | 5.88 | 4.90 | 4.21 | 4.83 |
Baylor passes and runs well, while KU and ISU both have issues with this area of the game. It is interesting that KU has a low DPY/A, have they played anyone that passes?