2013 Week 7 poll: Baylor @ K-State

The results so far:

The preseason poll is 3-2 after this week and the weekly polls are 2-3.

Mathletics is an interesting book and recommended if you enjoy your sports with numbers. Especially good about this book is the explanations at the end of each chapter that allow you to use a spreadsheet to duplicate the examples in each chapter and a section on what the bookies are trying to accomplish. Another nice thing about using a spreadsheet, you can find the errors you made last week and correct them fairly easily.

The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:

As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate. The non-conference schedule does not have a large enough sample to be meaningful, while it will be at least 3 more weeks before the conference numbers begin to head towards usefulness (that's my guess and I'm sticking to it). If the conference numbers were accurate the finishing order of the Big XII (as of this week) would be: Texas Tech, Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas, I-State, O-State, K-State, WVU, TCU and Kansas.

In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:

Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt, combined with a league leading rushing defense I'm not sure which team in the league will beat them.