clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2013 Week 10 poll: I-State @ K-State

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The results of the polls so far:

2013 Regular Season Schedule
date Opponent Preseason
Poll
Result Weekly Poll
Win Lose L > 7 L ≤ 7 Tie W ≤ 7 W > 7
8/30/13 7:30 p.m.
North Dakota State 134 9 L 24-21 4 6 1 28 153
9/7/13 5:30 p.m. Louisiana-Lafayette 141 2 W 27-48 12 16 3 42 95
9/14/13 6:00 p.m. Massachusetts 142 1 W 7-37 5 0 1 3 123
9/21/13 @Texas 69 19 L 21-31 7 16 7 91 84
10/5/13 @O-State 26 62 L 29-33 47 18 3 35 11
10/12/13 Baylor 77 11 L 35 - 25 271 3 5 9 6
10/19/13 bye
10/26/13 West Virginia 88 2 W 35 - 12 7 5 7 36 72
11/2/13 Iowa State 88 2
11/9/13 @Texas Tech 71 19
11/16/13 TCU 41 20
11/23/13 Oklahoma 34 27
11/30/13 @Kansas 60 1

The preseason poll is 4-3 after this week and the weekly polls are 4-3.

Continuing with the analysis using the Mathletics formulas.

The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:

PW%
Team All Conference Non-Conference
Baylor .9645 .9136 .9947
Iowa State .2580 .1558 .5229
Kansas .2027 .0913 .6221
Kansas State .6414 .4946 .8068
Oklahoma .7670 .5941 .9272
Oklahoma State .8355 .6954 .9449
Texas .6703 .7639 .5556
TCU .5065 .2575 .7505
Texas Tech .8173 .7078 .9377
West Virginia .3380 .2637 .5376

As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate.

This PW% is starting to reach accurate range, predicted conference finishing order using conference PW%: Baylor, Texas, Texas Tech, O-State, OU, K-State, WVU, TCU, I-State and KU.

In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:

All games Conf games
Team PY/A DPY/A RY/A DRY/A PY/A DPY/A RY/A DRY/A
Baylor 13.26 5.85 6.24 3.04 12.11 5.54 5.99 3.66
Iowa State 6.20 6.85 3.35 5.20 5.76 6.95 3.17 5.76
Kansas 5.45 6.86 3.36 4.92 5.07 8.35 2.74 4.98
K-State 9.02 7.01 4.57 4.01 8.67 7.80 4.37 3.80
Oklahoma 7.08 5.68 5.21 4.19 6.61 6.27 5.21 4.14
O-State 7.04 5.84 4.52 3.22 6.11 5.86 4.31 3.06
Texas 7.62 6.39 4.58 4.72 7.39 7.14 4.19 3.39
TCU 6.31 6.83 3.75 3.22 5.76 6.94 3.66 3.10
Texas Tech 7.65 6.03 3.72 3.69 7.49 6.13 3.48 4.13
West Virginia 6.46 8.60 4.24 4.43 6.11 9.24 3.88 4.99

In conference games Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt. Baylor now leads in passing defense, while O-State has the best rushing defense.

K-State continues as runner up in PY/A and 3rd in RY/A. The Cats have the 3rd most icky DPY/A and 5th best DRY/A.

The remaining Big XII schedule (red = top 3 confPW%, orange=2nd 3 confPW%, green=3rd 3 confPW%):

Team 11/02 11/9 11/16 11/23 11/30 12/7
Baylor OU TXT @OSU @TCU TX
Iowa State @KSU TCU @OU KU @WVU
Kansas @TX @OSU WVU @ISU KSU
Kansas State ISU @TXT TCU OU @KU
Oklahoma @Baylor ISU @KSU @OSU
Oklahoma State @TXT KU @TX Baylor OU
Texas KU @WVU OSU TXT @Baylor
TCU WVU @ISU @KSU Baylor
Texas Tech OSU KSU Baylor @TX
West Virginia @TCU TX @KU
ISU

Using the conference predicted winning percentages (which is almost accurate) rankings, WVU has the easiest schedule with I-State and K-State close behind. TCU, Kansas and Texas are the next 3, followed by OU, Baylor and O-State. Texas Tech has the most difficult remaining schedule.