The results of the polls so far:
|2013 Regular Season Schedule
|Win||Lose||L > 7||L ≤ 7||Tie||W ≤ 7||W > 7|
|8/30/13 7:30 p.m.
||North Dakota State||134||9||L 24-21||4||6||1||28||153|
|9/7/13 5:30 p.m.||Louisiana-Lafayette||141||2||W 27-48||12||16||3||42||95|
|9/14/13 6:00 p.m.||Massachusetts||142||1||W 7-37||5||0||1||3||123|
|10/12/13||Baylor||77||11||L 35 - 25||271||3||5||9||6|
The preseason poll is 3-3 after this week and the weekly polls are 3-3.
Continuing with the analysis using the Mathletics formulas.
The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:
|Iowa State||.4798||.4317 (7)||.5229|
|Kansas State||.5735||.3412 (8)||.8069|
|Oklahoma State||.8207||.4477 (6)||.9449|
|Texas Tech||.8897||.8210 (1)||.9377|
|West Virginia||.3996||.3133 (9)||.5376|
As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate. The conference schedule is approaching meaningful numbers but still 2 weeks to go at least, the problem with small sparse data sets. K-State has played 2 of the top 3, and 1 of the 2nd three; so the results don't look all that good.
In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:
|All games||Conf games|
Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt,while TCU has the best passing defense and OSU has the best rushing defense. I'm still puzzled as to why we did not attempt to pass against Texas.
The remaining Big XII schedule (red = top 3 confPW%, orange=2nd 3 confPW%, green=3rd 3 confPW%):
Using the conference predicted winning percentages (which is probably not accurate) rankings, K-State and I-State have the easiest schedules remaining, while TCU, KU and OU make up the second tier, followed by Texas Tech, WVU and Texas. Baylor and O-State have arguably the toughest schedules left despite both of them having KU on the schedule.