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I know it is galling to see the Cats slumming it at the bottom of the standings with the likes of Oklahoma and Texas Tech, but be patient and abide, fellow fans. Our time shall come.
And everyone else still has to play the top teams (Baylor, Kansas, Missouri) at least once, if not twice, while we fatten up on the weak and indigent for the next nine games.
Meanwhile, the Bears and Jayhawks will seek to avoid flat performances today in anticipation of their looming showdown Monday night in the Phog (which we all know KU is going to win, of course).
Texas at Missouri is a semi-intriguing game, but the intrigue probably will be stripped away quickly after the first TV timeout. And Aggies vs. Red Raiders will just be sad, almost like a cripple fight.
| Seed* | Record* | Tourney* | RPI | Pomeroy | Sagarin | Streak | Best Win** | Worst Loss** | Coach | |
| Kansas | 1 | 17-1 | NCAA | 25 | 2 | 2 | W-6 | Ohio State | Davidson | Bill Self |
| Missouri | 2 | 15-3 | NCAA | 19 | 8 | 8 | W-1 | Illinois | Kansas State | Frank Haith |
| Baylor | 3 | 14-4 | NCAA | 4 | 11 | 12 | W-16 | West Virginia | None | Scott Drew |
| Kansas State | 4 | 12-6 | NCAA | 27 | 15 | 19 | L-1 | Alabama | Kansas | Frank Martin |
| Texas | 5 | 11-7 | Bubble | 63 | 25 | 24 | W-2 | Temple | Oregon State | Rick Barnes |
| Iowa State | 6 | 7-11 | Bubble | 53 | 51 | 51 | L-1 | Texas | Drake | Fred Hoiberg |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 6-12 | NIT | 79 | 80 | 72 | L-3 | Oral Roberts | Cincinnati | Lon Kruger |
| Oklahoma State | 8 | 5-13 | None | 100 | 90 | 88 | W-1 | Missouri State | Pittsburgh | Travis Ford |
| Texas A&M | 9 | 3-15 | None | 206 | 131 | 138 | L-3 | St. John's | Rice | Billy Kennedy |
| Texas Tech | 10 | 0-18 | None | 178 | 221 | 217 | L-3 | Troy | DePaul | Billy Gillispie |
Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)
*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI
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Discussion
Really not too much discuss here. There were exceedingly few changes to the overall prediction matrix.
Funny how that happens when you use the right numbers, huh?
GAMER: Now has Kansas State losing at Oklahoma State.
Pomeroy: No changes.
Sagarin: Now has Texas A&M winning at Texas Tech.
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Self-Evaluation
As usual, BIG 12 OUTLOOK has no idea what to do with the Cats early in the conference season.
Does it predict the Cats will lose at home to Missouri? Expect a win. Think that will translate into an upset of Baylor? Sorry, try again.
Luckily, the model has the Cats pegged for a pretty solid run during the next four weeks or so, with at least one system predicting an undefeated stretch.
Even if the Cats drop a game or two, that still would be a stretch to rival the end of last season.
Fun fact: The spreadsheet I use to calculate the Sagarin outcomes continues to recalculate games that already have been played, based on the most current information. 14 of those 15 predictions match the actual outcomes.
The one that doesn't? Baylor at K-State, of course, which Sagarin still has us winning by slightly more than two points, despite what actually happened Tuesday night. Dammit.
Cumulative pick record: 11-4 (.733)
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Key
Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:
- G — RealTimeRPI GAMER (an advanced statistical prediction model, claiming 76.8-percent accuracy)
- P — Ken Pomeroy's rankings (predicts a probability outcome for each game remaining)
- S — Sagarin pure points predictor rankings (home-court advantage is taken into account)
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Predicted Outcomes
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