Things are starting to separate a little in the standings above, but in the table that follows after the jump, not much has changed.
|
Seed* |
Record* |
Tourney* |
RPI |
Pomeroy |
Sagarin |
Streak |
Best Win** |
Worst Loss** |
Coach |
| Texas |
1 |
15-1 |
NCAA |
7 |
5 |
3 |
L-1 |
Pittsburgh |
Kansas State |
Rick Barnes |
| Kansas |
2 |
14-2 |
NCAA |
2 |
1 |
1 |
W-3 |
Temple |
Tennessee |
Bill Self |
| Kansas State |
3 |
14-2 |
NCAA |
3 |
8 |
6 |
W-3 |
Texas |
Missouri |
Frank Martin |
| Baylor |
4 |
10-6 |
NCAA |
28 |
25 |
23 |
L-1 |
Xavier |
Colorado |
Scott Drew |
| Missouri |
5 |
10-6 |
NCAA |
52 |
13 |
25 |
L-1 |
Kansas State |
Oral Roberts |
Mike Anderson |
| Texas A&M |
6 |
7-9 |
NIT |
34 |
42 |
41 |
W-1 |
Clemson |
Washington |
Mark Turgeon |
| Iowa State |
7 |
6-10 |
NIT |
111 |
72 |
75 |
L-1 |
Bradley |
Northwestern |
Greg McDermott |
| Oklahoma State |
8 |
5-11 |
NIT |
35 |
56 |
53 |
W-1 |
Texas Tech |
Oklahoma |
Travis Ford |
| Colorado |
9 |
4-12 |
None |
149 |
99 |
109 |
L-2 |
Baylor |
Oregon State |
Jeff Bzdelik |
| Texas Tech |
10 |
4-12 |
None |
42 |
89 |
78 |
W-1 |
Washington |
Missouri |
Pat Knight |
| Oklahoma |
11 |
4-12 |
None |
87 |
91 |
89 |
L-1 |
Oklahoma State |
San Diego |
Jeff Capel |
| Nebraska |
12 |
3-13 |
None |
125 |
82 |
91 |
L-3 |
Tulsa |
Creighton |
Doc Sadler |
Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)
*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI
Discussion
Well, everything this week went pretty much as predicted, so there's not too much to discuss, is there?
Probably the biggest overall change, and one that wasn't that big, was K-State drawing closer to KU in projected record and overall computer numbers. This is an obvious function of our win over No. 1 Texas. The nation finally has clued into the fact that there are three legitimate Top 10 teams in the Big 12.
Missouri suffered a bit during its off week, but should bounce back with a few wins in the next week or so. Iowa State has more to be worried about, however, with a tough stretch beginning today against Kansas.
Oklahoma's starting to be in a world of hurt and Colorado slowly is sinking back to the basement. Meanwhile, Texas Tech got off the schneid and will look to continue its resuscitation today against the aforementioned Sooners.
The less said about Nebraska, the better. Yikes.
GAMER: Now has K-State beating Baylor and Iowa State losing to Oklahoma State.
Pomeroy: Now has Texas losing to Kansas and Missouri, and Baylor beating Oklahoma State in Stillwater.
Sagarin: Now has K-State beating Baylor in Waco and Kansas in Manhattan, and Missouri beating Iowa State in Ames.
Self-Evaluation
Now that's more like it. I'd like to take credit for my 5-0 week, but it was pretty easy -- just pick the home teams.
In fact, if things keep up this way, we won't really even need this tool much this year. It's currently projecting the home teams to win more than 90 percent of the time. Hell, I could do that in my sleep -- don't need computers for that.
The theme should continue today, because Kansas appears to be the only team with a decent-or-better chance of winning on the road -- although I wouldn't be surprised to see the Sooners storm into Lubbock and sneak out with a win, because Tech isn't very impressive, IMO.
Cumulative pick record: 17-5 (.773)
Key
Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:
Predicted Outcomes
| 01.09 |
| 4-1 (.800) |
60 Oklahoma
91 Baylor
|
86 Colorado
103 Texas
|
68 K-State
74 Missouri
|
53 Nebraska
64 A&M
|
52 Tech
81 O-State
|
|
| 01.11-01.13 |
| 4-2 (.667) |
57 O-State
62 Oklahoma (OT) |
71 Baylor
78 Colorado
|
65 A&M
88 K-State
|
90 Texas
83 I-State |
94 Missouri
89 Tech (OT) |
84 Kansas
72 Nebraska |
|
| 01.16 |
| 4-2 (.667) |
70 O-State
83 Baylor
|
87 K-State
81 Colorado |
63 Tech
89 Kansas
|
61 Missouri
66 Oklahoma
|
56 I-State
53 Nebraska |
67 A&M
72 Texas (OT) |
|
| 01.18-01.20 |
| 5-0 (1.000) |
62 Texas
71 K-State
|
62 Oklahoma
65 A&M
|
78 Colorado
90 O-State
|
71 I-State
78 Tech
|
75 Baylor
81 Kansas
|
|
| 01.23 |
Colorado
@ A&M (GPS) |
Kansas (GPS)
@ I-State |
O-State
@ K-State (GPS) |
Nebraska
@ Missouri (GPS) |
Oklahoma
@ Tech (GPS) |
|
| 01.25-01.27 |
Missouri
@ Kansas (GPS) |
K-State (GS)
@ Baylor (P)
|
Nebraska
@ Colorado (GPS)
|
I-State
@ Oklahoma (GPS) |
A&M
@ O-State (GPS) |
Tech
@ Texas (GPS) |
|
| 01.30 |
Colorado
@ I-State (GPS) |
Kansas (P)
@ K-State (GS) |
O-State
@ Missouri (GPS) |
Oklahoma
@ Nebraska (GPS) |
Tech
@ A&M (GPS) |
Baylor
@ Texas (GPS) |
|
| 02.01-02.03 |
Texas (GPS)
@ O-State |
K-State (GPS)
@ Nebraska |
Kansas (GPS)
@ Colorado |
I-State
@ Baylor (GPS) |
A&M
@ Missouri (GPS) |
|
| 02.06 |
Missouri (GPS)
@ Colorado |
K-State (GPS)
@ I-State |
Nebraska
@ Kansas (GPS) |
Texas (GPS)
@ Oklahoma |
Baylor (G)
@ A&M (PS) |
O-State (P)
@ Tech (GS) |
|
| 02.08-02.10 |
Kansas (P)
@ Texas (GS) |
Tech
@ Oklahoma (GPS) |
I-State
@ Missouri (GPS) |
Baylor (GPS)
@ Nebraska |
|
| 02.13 |
Colorado
@ K-State (GPS) |
I-State
@ Kansas (GPS) |
Missouri
@ Baylor (GPS) |
Nebraska
@ Texas (GPS) |
Oklahoma
@ O-State (GPS) |
A&M (P)
@ Tech (GS) |
|
| 02.15-02.17 |
Kansas (GPS)
@ A&M |
Tech
@ Baylor (GPS) |
Oklahoma
@ Colorado (GPS) |
O-State (G)
@ I-State (PS) |
Nebraska
@ K-State (GPS) |
Texas (GS)
@ Missouri (P)
|
|
| 02.20 |
A&M (G)
@ I-State (PS) |
K-State (GPS)
@ Oklahoma |
Colorado
@ Kansas (GPS) |
Missouri (GPS)
@ Nebraska |
Baylor (GP)
@ O-State (S) |
Texas (GPS)
@ Tech |
|
| 02.22-02.24 |
Oklahoma
@ Kansas (GPS) |
K-State (GPS)
@ Tech
|
A&M
@ Baylor (GPS) |
Nebraska
@ I-State (GPS) |
Colorado
@ Missouri (GPS) |
O-State
@ Texas (GPS) |
|
| 02.27 |
I-State (GS)
@ Colorado (P)
|
Missouri
@ K-State (GPS) |
Kansas (GPS)
@ O-State |
Tech
@ Nebraska (GPS) |
Baylor (GPS)
@ Oklahoma |
Texas (GPS)
@ A&M |
|
| 03.01-03.03 |
Oklahoma
@ Texas (GPS) |
Missouri (GPS)
@ I-State
|
Colorado
@ Nebraska (GPS) |
Baylor (GPS)
@ Tech |
K-State
@ Kansas (GPS) |
O-State
@ A&M (GPS) |
|
| 03.06 |
Texas (GPS)
@ Baylor |
Tech
@ Colorado (GPS)
|
I-State
@ K-State (GPS) |
Kansas (GPS)
@ Missouri |
Nebraska
@ O-State (GPS) |
A&M (GPS)
@ Oklahoma |
|
