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BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 01.23.10

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Big 12 Conference Standings

(updated 1.22.2010)


 

Things are starting to separate a little in the standings above, but in the table that follows after the jump, not much has changed.

Seed* Record* Tourney* RPI Pomeroy Sagarin Streak Best Win** Worst Loss** Coach
Texas 1 15-1 NCAA 7 5 3 L-1 Pittsburgh Kansas State Rick Barnes
Kansas 2 14-2 NCAA 2 1 1 W-3 Temple Tennessee Bill Self
Kansas State 3 14-2 NCAA 3 8 6 W-3 Texas Missouri Frank Martin
Baylor 4 10-6 NCAA 28 25 23 L-1 Xavier Colorado Scott Drew
Missouri 5 10-6 NCAA 52 13 25 L-1 Kansas State Oral Roberts Mike Anderson
Texas A&M 6 7-9 NIT 34 42 41 W-1 Clemson Washington Mark Turgeon
Iowa State 7 6-10 NIT 111 72 75 L-1 Bradley Northwestern Greg McDermott
Oklahoma State 8 5-11 NIT 35 56 53 W-1 Texas Tech Oklahoma Travis Ford
Colorado 9 4-12 None 149 99 109 L-2 Baylor Oregon State Jeff Bzdelik
Texas Tech 10 4-12 None 42 89 78 W-1 Washington Missouri Pat Knight
Oklahoma 11 4-12 None 87 91 89 L-1 Oklahoma State San Diego Jeff Capel
Nebraska 12 3-13 None 125 82 91 L-3 Tulsa Creighton Doc Sadler

Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)

*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI

 

Discussion

Well, everything this week went pretty much as predicted, so there's not too much to discuss, is there?

Probably the biggest overall change, and one that wasn't that big, was K-State drawing closer to KU in projected record and overall computer numbers. This is an obvious function of our win over No. 1 Texas. The nation finally has clued into the fact that there are three legitimate Top 10 teams in the Big 12.

Missouri suffered a bit during its off week, but should bounce back with a few wins in the next week or so. Iowa State has more to be worried about, however, with a tough stretch beginning today against Kansas.

Oklahoma's starting to be in a world of hurt and Colorado slowly is sinking back to the basement. Meanwhile, Texas Tech got off the schneid and will look to continue its resuscitation today against the aforementioned Sooners.

The less said about Nebraska, the better. Yikes.

GAMER: Now has K-State beating Baylor and Iowa State losing to Oklahoma State.

Pomeroy: Now has Texas losing to Kansas and Missouri, and Baylor beating Oklahoma State in Stillwater.

Sagarin: Now has K-State beating Baylor in Waco and Kansas in Manhattan, and Missouri beating Iowa State in Ames.

 

Self-Evaluation

Now that's more like it. I'd like to take credit for my 5-0 week, but it was pretty easy -- just pick the home teams.

In fact, if things keep up this way, we won't really even need this tool much this year. It's currently projecting the home teams to win more than 90 percent of the time. Hell, I could do that in my sleep -- don't need computers for that.

The theme should continue today, because Kansas appears to be the only team with a decent-or-better chance of winning on the road -- although I wouldn't be surprised to see the Sooners storm into Lubbock and sneak out with a win, because Tech isn't very impressive, IMO.

Cumulative pick record: 17-5 (.773)

 

Key

Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:

Predicted Outcomes

01.09
4-1 (.800)
60 Oklahoma
91 Baylor
86 Colorado
103 Texas
68 K-State
74 Missouri
53 Nebraska
64 A&M
52 Tech
81 O-State
01.11-01.13
4-2 (.667)
57 O-State
62 Oklahoma (OT)
71 Baylor
78 Colorado
65 A&M
88 K-State
90 Texas
83 I-State
94 Missouri
89 Tech (OT)
84 Kansas
72 Nebraska
01.16
4-2 (.667)
70 O-State
83 Baylor
87 K-State
81 Colorado
63 Tech
89 Kansas
61 Missouri
66 Oklahoma
56 I-State
53 Nebraska
67 A&M
72 Texas (OT)
01.18-01.20
5-0 (1.000)
62 Texas
71 K-State
62 Oklahoma
65 A&M
78 Colorado
90 O-State
71 I-State
78 Tech
75 Baylor
81 Kansas
01.23
Colorado
@ A&M (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ I-State
O-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Nebraska
@ Missouri (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Tech (GPS)
01.25-01.27
Missouri
@ Kansas (GPS)
K-State (GS)
@ Baylor (P)
Nebraska
@ Colorado (GPS)
I-State
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
A&M
@ O-State (GPS)
Tech
@ Texas (GPS)
01.30
Colorado
@ I-State (GPS)
Kansas (P)
@ K-State (GS)
O-State
@ Missouri (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Nebraska (GPS)
Tech
@ A&M (GPS)
Baylor
@ Texas (GPS)
02.01-02.03
Texas (GPS)
@ O-State
K-State (GPS)
@ Nebraska
Kansas (GPS)
@ Colorado
I-State
@ Baylor (GPS)
A&M
@ Missouri (GPS)
02.06
Missouri (GPS)
@ Colorado
K-State (GPS)
@ I-State
Nebraska
@ Kansas (GPS)
Texas (GPS)
@ Oklahoma
Baylor (G)
@ A&M (PS)
O-State (P)
@ Tech (GS)
02.08-02.10
Kansas (P)
@ Texas (GS)
Tech
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
I-State
@ Missouri (GPS)
Baylor (GPS)
@ Nebraska
02.13
Colorado
@ K-State (GPS)
I-State
@ Kansas (GPS)
Missouri
@ Baylor (GPS)
Nebraska
@ Texas (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ O-State (GPS)
A&M (P)
@ Tech (GS)
02.15-02.17
Kansas (GPS)
@ A&M
Tech
@ Baylor (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Colorado (GPS)
O-State (G)
@ I-State (PS)
Nebraska
@ K-State (GPS)
Texas (GS)
@ Missouri (P)
02.20
A&M (G)
@ I-State (PS)
K-State (GPS)
@ Oklahoma
Colorado
@ Kansas (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ Nebraska
Baylor (GP)
@ O-State (S)
Texas (GPS)
@ Tech
02.22-02.24
Oklahoma
@ Kansas (GPS)
K-State (GPS)
@ Tech
A&M
@ Baylor (GPS)
Nebraska
@ I-State (GPS)
Colorado
@ Missouri (GPS)
O-State
@ Texas (GPS)
02.27
I-State (GS)
@ Colorado (P)
Missouri
@ K-State (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ O-State
Tech
@ Nebraska (GPS)
Baylor (GPS)
@ Oklahoma
Texas (GPS)
@ A&M
03.01-03.03
Oklahoma
@ Texas (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ I-State
Colorado
@ Nebraska (GPS)
Baylor (GPS)
@ Tech
K-State
@ Kansas (GPS)
O-State
@ A&M (GPS)
03.06
Texas (GPS)
@ Baylor
Tech
@ Colorado (GPS)
I-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ Missouri
Nebraska
@ O-State (GPS)
A&M (GPS)
@ Oklahoma