The results of the polls so far:
|2013 Regular Season Schedule
|Win||Lose||L > 7||L ≤ 7||Tie||W ≤ 7||W > 7|
|8/30/13 7:30 p.m.
||North Dakota State||134||9||L 24-21||4||6||1||28||153|
|9/7/13 5:30 p.m.||Louisiana-Lafayette||141||2||W 27-48||12||16||3||42||95|
|9/14/13 6:00 p.m.||Massachusetts||142||1||W 7-37||5||0||1||3||123|
|10/12/13||Baylor||77||11||L 35 - 25||271||3||5||9||6|
|10/26/13||West Virginia||88||2||W 12 - 35||7||5||7||36||72|
|11/2/13||Iowa State||88||2||W 7 - 41||1||2||2||23||86|
The preseason poll is 5-3 after this week and the weekly polls are 5-3.
Continuing with the analysis using the Mathletics formulas.
The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:
As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate.
This PW% is starting to reach accurate range, predicted conference finishing order using conference PW%: Baylor, Texas, O-State, K-State, Texas Tech, OU, WVU, TCU, I-State and KU. K-State, Texas Tech and OU are fairly close together in the numbers, so we might have good games (please see your doctor before viewing).
In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:
|All games||Conf games|
In conference games Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt. Baylor now leads in passing defense, while TCU has the best rushing defense.
K-State continues as runner up in PY/A and 4th in RY/A. The Cats are 6th in DPY/A and 5th best DRY/A.
The remaining Big XII schedule (red = top 3 confPW%, orange=2nd 3 confPW%, green=3rd 3 confPW%):
|Kansas||need 4 wins
|Kansas State||need 2 wins
|TCU||need 3 wins
|West Virginia||need 2 wins
Using the conference predicted winning percentages (which is almost accurate) rankings, I-State and WVU have the easiest schedules remaining, with K-State having the 3rd easiest schedule and KU in 4th. Texas, OU, O-State and Baylor are the next four, trailed by TCU and the hardest schedule remaining is Texas Tech.