2013 Week 9 poll: WVU @ K-State

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

K-State welcomes Mountaineer football to the Bill for the first time.

The results of the polls so far:

2013 Regular Season Schedule
date Opponent Preseason
Poll
Result Weekly Poll
Win Lose L > 7 L ≤ 7 Tie W ≤ 7 W > 7
8/30/13 7:30 p.m.
North Dakota State 134 9 L 24-21 4 6 1 28 153
9/7/13 5:30 p.m. Louisiana-Lafayette 141 2 W 27-48 12 16 3 42 95
9/14/13 6:00 p.m. Massachusetts 142 1 W 7-37 5 0 1 3 123
9/21/13 @Texas 69 19 L 21-31 7 16 7 91 84
10/5/13 @O-State 26 62 L 29-33 47 18 3 35 11
10/12/13 Baylor 77 11 L 35 - 25 271 3 5 9 6
10/19/13 bye
10/26/13 West Virginia 88 2
11/2/13 Iowa State 88 2
11/9/13 @Texas Tech 71 19
11/16/13 TCU 41 20
11/23/13 Oklahoma 34 27
11/30/13 @Kansas 60 1

The preseason poll is 3-3 after this week and the weekly polls are 3-3.

Continuing with the analysis using the Mathletics formulas.

The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:

PW%
Team All Conference Non-Conference
Baylor .9639 .8903 (1) .9947
Iowa State .2907 .1632 (9) .5229
Kansas .2855 .1323 (10) .6221
Kansas State .5835 .3412 (7) .8068
Oklahoma .7902 .5766 (4) .9272
Oklahoma State .8288 .5721 (5) .9449
Texas .6167 .6822 (3) .5556
TCU .5893 .3639 (6) .7505
Texas Tech .8661 .7877 (2) .9377
West Virginia .3860 .3154 (8) .5376

As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate. The conference schedule is approaching meaningful numbers but still a week to go at least, the problem with small sparse data sets.

In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:

All games Conf games
Team PY/A DPY/A RY/A DRY/A PY/A DPY/A RY/A DRY/A
Baylor 13.63 6.07 6.13 3.04 12.35 5.86 5.71 3.89
Iowa State 6.41 7.30 3.38 4.81 6.05 7.73 3.16 5.20
Kansas 5.60 6.03 3.43 4.56 5.24 7.21 2.58 4.31
K-State 8.37 7.17 4.73 4.07 7.31 8.46 4.60 3.86
Oklahoma 6.63 5.27 5.16 4.34 5.62 5.78 5.11 4.35
O-State 7.50 5.97 3.90 3.22 6.77 6.13 2.91 2.99
Texas 7.22 6.66 4.79 4.97 6.52 8.07 4.42 3.69
TCU 6.53 6.43 3.93 3.14 5.95 6.28 3.95 2.91
Texas Tech 7.71 5.63 3.81 3.34 7.57 5.39 3.58 3.69
West Virginia 6.49 8.11 4.32 4.55 6.07 8.60 3.96 5.29

In conference games Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt.  Texas Tech now leads in passing defense, while TCU has the best rushing defense.

K-State has the second worst passing defense and a middlin' rush defense (5th in the league) after playing the top passing/rushing team (Baylor), a team having trouble rushing (O-State) and team in the middle of the pack (Texas).  The good news is 5 of the last 6 teams K-State plays are in the bottom half of the conference for passing, while the Cats face only OU and WVU in the top 5 of the conference in rushing.

The remaining Big XII schedule (red = top 3 confPW%, orange=2nd 3 confPW%, green=3rd 3 confPW%):

Team
10/26 11/02 11/9 11/16 11/23 11/30 12/7
Baylor @KU OU TXT @OSU @TCU TX
Iowa State OSU @KSU TCU @OU KU @WVU
Kansas Baylor @TX @OSU WVU @ISU KSU
Kansas State WVU ISU @TXT TCU OU @KU
Oklahoma TXT @Baylor ISU @KSU @OSU
Oklahoma State @ISU @TXT KU @TX Baylor OU
Texas @TCU KU @WVU OSU TXT @Baylor
TCU TX WVU @ISU @KSU Baylor
Texas Tech @OU OSU KSU Baylor @TX
West Virginia @KSU @TCU TX @KU
ISU

Using the conference predicted winning percentages (which is probably not accurate) rankings, WVU and I-State have the easiest schedules remaining, while K-State, TCU and Kansas make up the second tier, followed by Texas and Baylor.  Oklahoma and O-State trail Tech who has arguably the toughest schedule remaining.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Bring On The Cats

You must be a member of Bring On The Cats to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bring On The Cats. You should read them.

Join Bring On The Cats

You must be a member of Bring On The Cats to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bring On The Cats. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker