The results of the polls so far:
|2013 Regular Season Schedule
|Win||Lose||L > 7||L ≤ 7||Tie||W ≤ 7||W > 7|
|8/30/13 7:30 p.m.
||North Dakota State||134||9||L 24-21||4||6||1||28||153|
|9/7/13 5:30 p.m.||Louisiana-Lafayette||141||2||W 27-48||12||16||3||42||95|
|9/14/13 6:00 p.m.||Massachusetts||142||1||W 7-37||5||0||1||3||123|
|10/12/13||Baylor||77||11||L 35 - 25||271||3||5||9||6|
The preseason poll is 3-3 after this week and the weekly polls are 3-3.
Continuing with the analysis using the Mathletics formulas.
The predicted winning percentage (adjusted for football from baseball) is runs scored / runs scored + runs allowed. The current numbers for the Big XII:
|Iowa State||.2907||.1632 (9)||.5229|
|Kansas State||.5835||.3412 (7)||.8068|
|Oklahoma State||.8288||.5721 (5)||.9449|
|Texas Tech||.8661||.7877 (2)||.9377|
|West Virginia||.3860||.3154 (8)||.5376|
As this was calculated using the NFL adjustment, it may or may not be accurate. The conference schedule is approaching meaningful numbers but still a week to go at least, the problem with small sparse data sets.
In the NFL, passing yards / attempts and defensive passing yards /attempt explain about 70% of a team's performance, while rushing yards / attempt and defensive rushing yards / attempt explain another 6%. Below is how each Big XII team is doing in these two areas:
|All games||Conf games|
In conference games Baylor leads the league in passing and rushing per attempt. Texas Tech now leads in passing defense, while TCU has the best rushing defense.
K-State has the second worst passing defense and a middlin' rush defense (5th in the league) after playing the top passing/rushing team (Baylor), a team having trouble rushing (O-State) and team in the middle of the pack (Texas). The good news is 5 of the last 6 teams K-State plays are in the bottom half of the conference for passing, while the Cats face only OU and WVU in the top 5 of the conference in rushing.
The remaining Big XII schedule (red = top 3 confPW%, orange=2nd 3 confPW%, green=3rd 3 confPW%):
Using the conference predicted winning percentages (which is probably not accurate) rankings, WVU and I-State have the easiest schedules remaining, while K-State, TCU and Kansas make up the second tier, followed by Texas and Baylor. Oklahoma and O-State trail Tech who has arguably the toughest schedule remaining.