BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 03.03.12


Big 12 Conference Standings

(updated 3.2.2012)

Conf Overall
W L W L
#3 Kansas Jayhawks 15 2 25 5
#7 Missouri Tigers 13 4 26 4
#9 Baylor Bears 12 5 25 5
Iowa State Cyclones 11 6 21 9
Kansas State Wildcats 9 8 20 9
Texas Longhorns 9 8 19 11
Oklahoma State Cowboys 7 10 14 16
Oklahoma Sooners 4 13 14 15
Texas A&M Aggies 4 13 13 16
Texas Tech Red Raiders 1 16 8 21

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Congratulations are in order, I suppose. The Grand Wizard himSelf has rendered this the most boring iteration of BIG 12 OUTLOOK yet by cruising to the finish line with a two-game lead.

So much for the preseason predictions of a wide-open conference filled with teams bloodying each other into submission. Instead, they are who we thought they were, so crown 'em already.

Also, I would like to commend the SEC for its collective 17-17 effort this season in conference play. Mediocre .500 ball, boys — that's how I'll always remember you.

Two more teams still can attain a double-digit win total in league play, which in this era of double round-robin play is next to godliness, if you ask me. My bet is that almost one of them will, but which one is a mystery.

Seed* Record* Tourney* RPI Pomeroy Sagarin Streak Best Win** Worst Loss** Coach
Kansas 1 16-2 NCAA 6 4 3 W-7 Ohio State Davidson Bill Self
Missouri 2 14-4 NCAA 12 9 8 W-1 Kansas Oklahoma State Frank Haith
Iowa State 3 12-6 NCAA 32 29 32 L-1 Kansas Drake Fred Hoiberg
Baylor 4 12-6 NCAA 9 16 13 W-3 San Diego State Kansas State Scott Drew
Kansas State 5 10-8 NCAA 42 21 19 W-1 Baylor Oklahoma (2) Frank Martin
Texas 6 9-9 Bubble 53 27 22 W-2 Temple Oregon State Rick Barnes
Oklahoma State 7 7-11 None 115 79 86 L-1 Missouri Texas A&M Travis Ford
Oklahoma 8 5-13 None 122 96 87 L-2 Oral Roberts Texas Tech Lon Kruger
Texas A&M 9 4-14 None 166 117 112 L-4 Oklahoma State Rice Billy Kennedy
Texas Tech 10 1-17 None 228 233 214 L-5 Oklahoma DePaul Billy Gillispie

Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)

*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI

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Discussion

There are few accolades to hand out and even fewer changes to acknowledge, so how about some trivia instead?

Did you know, for instance, that Texas A&M has lost eight of its last nine games, with the sole win coming in a 47-38 crapfest at Texas Tech?

Cheer up, Aggies! Your next two games are against Oklahoma, so a win almost certainly lies in your near future.

That's all I've got. Let's shift this thing into the postseason, already!

GAMER: No changes.

Pomeroy: No changes.

Sagarin: No changes.

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Self-Evaluation

Hey, another perfect week. How 'bout that. Now that there's virtually nothing to play for other than pride, the entire Big 12 is taking the week off and playing with chalk. Lame.

K-State should take care of business at home, but how often have we said that incorrectly this year? Look for Keiton Page to score about 40 points and keep the Pokes alive into the last minute of the game, most likely.

Along with the Cats, Kansas and Oklahoma appear to be solid picks to win at home, although a desperate Texas could be problematic for the Hawks, who merely are playing out the string, while OU just plain sucks.

If Missouri can't win at Texas Tech, then Frank Haith should commit seppuku.

That leaves Baylor at Iowa State as the one truly fascinating game in the conference today. The winner of that game will be the No. 3 seed and will claim one last signature win for the ol' NCAA resume. High stakes in Hilton!

Cumulative pick record: 67-18 (.788)

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Key

Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:

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Predicted Outcomes

01.02-01.04
4-1 (.800)
52 A&M
61 Baylor
49 Oklahoma
87 Missouri
71 Texas
77 I-State
49 K-State
67 Kansas
59 Tech
67 O-State
01.07
3-2 (.600)
59 Missouri
75 K-State
72 Kansas
61 Oklahoma
74 I-State
50 A&M
73 Baylor
60 Tech
49 O-State
58 Texas
01.09-01.11
4-1 (.800)
65 Oklahoma
72 O-State
75 Baylor
73 K-State
76 Missouri
69 I-State
81 Kansas
46 Tech
51 A&M
61 Texas
01.14
4-1 (.800)
65 O-State
106 Baylor
73 I-State
82 Kansas
73 Texas
84 Missouri
73 K-State
82 Oklahoma
54 Tech
67 A&M
01.16-01.18
5-0 (1.000)
74 Baylor
92 Kansas
51 A&M
70 Missouri
55 Tech
64 Oklahoma
68 O-State
71 I-State
80 Texas
84 K-State
01.21
3-2 (.600)
89 Missouri
88 Baylor
66 K-State
58 O-State
75 Oklahoma
81 A&M (OT)
76 I-State
52 Tech
69 Kansas
66 Texas
01.23-01.25
4-1 (.800)
54 A&M
64 Kansas
77 Baylor
65 Oklahoma
55 I-State
62 Texas
72 Missouri
79 O-State
69 K-State
47 Tech
01.28
3-2 (.600)
71 Texas
76 Baylor
64 Kansas
72 I-State
63 Oklahoma
60 K-State
50 Tech
63 Missouri
61 O-State
76 A&M
01.30-02.01
5-0 (1.000)
67 Missouri
66 Texas
70 K-State
72 I-State
80 O-State
63 Tech
62 Oklahoma
84 Kansas
63 Baylor
60 A&M
02.04
4-1 (.800)
53 A&M
64 K-State
71 Kansas
74 Missouri)
64 Baylor
60 O-State
77 I-State
70 Oklahoma
57 Tech
74 Texas
02.06-02.08
4-1 (.800)
71 Missouri
68 Oklahoma
70 Texas
68 A&M
46 Tech
65 K-State
67 I-State
69 O-State
68 Kansas
54 Baylor
02.11
4-1 (.800)
46 A&M
69 I-State
66 O-State
81 Kansas
57 Baylor
72 Missouri
47 Oklahoma
65 Tech
64 K-State
75 Texas
02.13-02.15
5-0 (1.000)
64 I-State
79 Baylor
59 Kansas
53 K-State
69 Texas
58 Oklahoma
47 A&M
38 Tech
65 O-State
83 Missouri
02.18
3-2 (.600)
57 K-State
56 Baylor
69 Oklahoma
80 I-State
50 Tech
83 Kansas
78 Texas
90 O-State
71 Missouri
62 A&M
02.20-02.22
3-2 (.600)
77 Baylor
72 Texas
78 K-State
68 Missouri
54 Tech
72 I-State
64 O-State
77 Oklahoma
66 Kansas
58 A&M
02.25
4-1 (.800)
60 Oklahoma
70 Baylor
65 I-State
61 K-State
86 Missouri
87 Kansas (OT)
42 A&M
60 O-State
71 Texas
67 Tech (OT)
02.27-02.29
5-0 (1.000)
48 Tech
77 Baylor
70 Kansas
58 O-State
76 K-State
70 A&M
72 I-State
78 Missouri
64 Oklahoma
72 Texas
03.03
Baylor (S)
@ I-State (GP)
O-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Texas
@ Kansas (GPS)
A&M
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ Tech
X
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