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Anyone else ready to get the hell out of conference play already? 18 games sounded good on paper, but in practice, it's exhausting. Imagine how the team must feel.
I don't know what else I can say about the conference race that hasn't already been said somewhere else.
Congrats to Kansas for its consistency, I guess. One of these years, the conference will catch up to them and topple them from their perch, but it obviously won't be any time soon at this rate.
Seed* | Record* | Tourney* | RPI | Pomeroy | Sagarin | Streak | Best Win** | Worst Loss** | Coach | |
Kansas | 1 | 16-2 | NCAA | 6 | 4 | 4 | W-6 | Ohio State | Davidson | Bill Self |
Missouri | 2 | 14-4 | NCAA | 16 | 9 | 8 | L-2 | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Frank Haith |
Iowa State | 3 | 12-6 | NCAA | 31 | 31 | 33 | W-3 | Kansas | Drake | Fred Hoiberg |
Baylor | 4 | 12-6 | NCAA | 9 | 18 | 15 | W-2 | San Diego State | Kansas State | Scott Drew |
Kansas State | 5 | 10-8 | NCAA | 45 | 23 | 20 | L-1 | Baylor | Oklahoma (2) | Frank Martin |
Texas | 6 | 9-9 | Bubble | 55 | 26 | 23 | W-1 | Temple | Oregon State | Rick Barnes |
Oklahoma State | 7 | 7-11 | None | 112 | 79 | 86 | W-1 | Missouri | Texas A&M | Travis Ford |
Oklahoma | 8 | 5-13 | None | 118 | 100 | 90 | L-1 | Oral Roberts | Texas Tech | Lon Kruger |
Texas A&M | 9 | 4-14 | None | 163 | 119 | 114 | L-3 | Oklahoma State | Rice | Billy Kennedy |
Texas Tech | 10 | 1-17 | None | 233 | 228 | 213 | L-4 | Oklahoma | DePaul | Billy Gillispie |
Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)
*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI
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Discussion
Iowa State again passes Baylor on the strength of its win in Manhattan. The two teams have that in common, I suppose. But nothing will be settled between them until the regular-season finale in Ames.
And until the final buzzer sounds on that game, we won't have a clue who we play in the opening game of Day 2 of the Big 12 Tournament. Neither choice is very appealing, in my opinion, but Baylor has the worse coach.
Five teams in this conference are NCAA Tournament locks. Texas will be sweating right up to Selection Sunday unless it wins in Lawrence (yeah, right).
GAMER: No changes.
Pomeroy: No changes.
Sagarin: No changes.
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Self-Evaluation
Falling back on my old rule, it's almost easier to attain a perfect week when you flip the model's predicted result for any given Cats game.
They're so damn inconsistent, it makes about as much sense as any other prediction strategy.
Baylor and Texas should cruise at home. Missouri likely will win as long as it doesn't let Kansas beat it twice, but Iowa State will put up a fight.
At the time of this writing, Kansas already beat Oklahoma State and locked up the championship. So that leaves the likeliest suspect for this week's primary upset potential. Oh, joy.
Cumulative pick record: 62-18 (.775)
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Key
Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:
- G — RealTimeRPI GAMER (an advanced statistical prediction model, claiming 76.8-percent accuracy)
- P — Ken Pomeroy's rankings (predicts a probability outcome for each game remaining)
- S — Sagarin pure points predictor rankings (home-court advantage is taken into account)
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Predicted Outcomes
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