BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 02.25.12


Big 12 Conference Standings

(updated 2.24.2012)

Conf Overall
W L W L
#4 Kansas Jayhawks 13 2 23 5
#3 Missouri Tigers 12 3 25 3
#13 Baylor Bears 10 5 23 5
Iowa State Cyclones 10 5 20 8
Kansas State Wildcats 8 7 19 8
Texas Longhorns 7 8 17 11
Oklahoma State Cowboys 6 9 13 15
Oklahoma Sooners 4 11 14 13
Texas A&M Aggies 4 11 13 14
Texas Tech Red Raiders 1 14 8 19

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Order restored. The conference overlords are back atop their natural pecking order.

Order restored. Frankuary is here and the Cats are what we expected: above .500 and tearing people's faces off.

Order restored. What's about to become one of the SEC's worst basketball programs has slid back into ninth place.

Order restored. Missouri currently sucks, always has sucked and always will suck. At success. At life. At everything.

Seed* Record* Tourney* RPI Pomeroy Sagarin Streak Best Win** Worst Loss** Coach
Kansas 1 16-2 NCAA 6 4 3 W-5 Ohio State Davidson Bill Self
Missouri 2 14-4 NCAA 13 9 8 L-1 Kansas Oklahoma State Frank Haith
Baylor 3 12-6 NCAA 9 15 14 W-1 San Diego State Kansas State Scott Drew
Iowa State 4 11-7 NCAA 43 34 35 W-2 Kansas Drake Fred Hoiberg
Kansas State 5 11-7 NCAA 41 20 20 W-2 Baylor Oklahoma (2) Frank Martin
Texas 6 9-9 Bubble 55 25 21 L-2 Temple Oregon State Rick Barnes
Oklahoma State 7 7-11 None 110 95 94 L-1 Missouri Texas A&M Travis Ford
Oklahoma 8 5-13 None 115 101 91 W-1 Kansas State (2) Texas Tech Lon Kruger
Texas A&M 9 4-14 None 159 107 110 L-2 Oklahoma State Rice Billy Kennedy
Texas Tech 10 1-17 None 226 240 217 L-3 Oklahoma DePaul Billy Gillispie

Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)

*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI

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Discussion

Gee, now look who's the hottest team in the league.

Winning five in a row is impressive, but the most impactful two-game winning streak belongs to the Cats. In the span of a week, they've gone from the bubble to national buzzword.

And Texas has suffered entirely the opposite trajectory, with the most impactful two-game losing streak in the conference virtually popping its bubble.

Remember a week ago, when this feature had the Longhorns winning two games more than K-State, which then was mired in a two-game losing streak with no relief in sight? My, how things can change in eight days.

Finally, a polite golf clap for Oklahoma, which snapped the second-longest losing streak in the conference by beating Oklahoma State. Now Texas Tech can re-assume its rightful place as the king of derpathetic.

GAMER: Now has Missouri losing at Kansas.

Pomeroy: No changes.

Sagarin: No changes.

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Self-Evaluation

As with gravity, what goes up must come down. A 5-0 week must always be followed by a 3-2 effort, eh?

Still, given which games this thing blew this week, I'll take it in a heartbeat. I much prefer looking down the standings at Texas and winning consecutive road games against top-10 foes to the depressing alternative.

Once again, OUTLOOK is all in on the home teams, save for the pillow fight layup Texas gets to experience.

If there is to be an upset, Iowa State in Manhattan unfortunately looks like the likeliest candidate.

I fully expect KU to eviscerate Missouri one last time for old times' sake, while Oklahoma should not pose a challenge to Baylor.

Texas A&M might be able to slop one out in Stillwater, but Oklahoma State plays about 200 percent better at home than it does anywhere else.

Plus, you really have to question whether the Aggies' hearts still are in it at this point.

Cumulative pick record: 58-17 (.773)

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Key

Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:

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Predicted Outcomes

01.02-01.04
4-1 (.800)
52 A&M
61 Baylor
49 Oklahoma
87 Missouri
71 Texas
77 I-State
49 K-State
67 Kansas
59 Tech
67 O-State
01.07
3-2 (.600)
59 Missouri
75 K-State
72 Kansas
61 Oklahoma
74 I-State
50 A&M
73 Baylor
60 Tech
49 O-State
58 Texas
01.09-01.11
4-1 (.800)
65 Oklahoma
72 O-State
75 Baylor
73 K-State
76 Missouri
69 I-State
81 Kansas
46 Tech
51 A&M
61 Texas
01.14
4-1 (.800)
65 O-State
106 Baylor
73 I-State
82 Kansas
73 Texas
84 Missouri
73 K-State
82 Oklahoma
54 Tech
67 A&M
01.16-01.18
5-0 (1.000)
74 Baylor
92 Kansas
51 A&M
70 Missouri
55 Tech
64 Oklahoma
68 O-State
71 I-State
80 Texas
84 K-State
01.21
3-2 (.600)
89 Missouri
88 Baylor
66 K-State
58 O-State
75 Oklahoma
81 A&M (OT)
76 I-State
52 Tech
69 Kansas
66 Texas
01.23-01.25
4-1 (.800)
54 A&M
64 Kansas
77 Baylor
65 Oklahoma
55 I-State
62 Texas
72 Missouri
79 O-State
69 K-State
47 Tech
01.28
3-2 (.600)
71 Texas
76 Baylor
64 Kansas
72 I-State
63 Oklahoma
60 K-State
50 Tech
63 Missouri
61 O-State
76 A&M
01.30-02.01
5-0 (1.000)
67 Missouri
66 Texas
70 K-State
72 I-State
80 O-State
63 Tech
62 Oklahoma
84 Kansas
63 Baylor
60 A&M
02.04
4-1 (.800)
53 A&M
64 K-State
71 Kansas
74 Missouri)
64 Baylor
60 O-State
77 I-State
70 Oklahoma
57 Tech
74 Texas
02.06-02.08
4-1 (.800)
71 Missouri
68 Oklahoma
70 Texas
68 A&M
46 Tech
65 K-State
67 I-State
69 O-State
68 Kansas
54 Baylor
02.11
4-1 (.800)
46 A&M
69 I-State
66 O-State
81 Kansas
57 Baylor
72 Missouri
47 Oklahoma
65 Tech
64 K-State
75 Texas
02.13-02.15
5-0 (1.000)
64 I-State
79 Baylor
59 Kansas
53 K-State
69 Texas
58 Oklahoma
47 A&M
38 Tech
65 O-State
83 Missouri
02.18
3-2 (.600)
57 K-State
56 Baylor
69 Oklahoma
80 I-State
50 Tech
83 Kansas
78 Texas
90 O-State
71 Missouri
62 A&M
02.20-02.22
3-2 (.600)
77 Baylor
72 Texas
78 K-State
68 Missouri
54 Tech
72 I-State
64 O-State
77 Oklahoma
66 Kansas
58 A&M
02.25
Oklahoma
@ Baylor (GPS)
I-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Missouri
@ Kansas (GPS)
A&M
@ O-State (GPS)
Texas (GPS)
@ Tech
02.27-02.29
Tech
@ Baylor (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ O-State
K-State (GPS)
@ A&M
I-State
@ Missouri (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Texas (GPS)
03.03
Baylor (S)
@ I-State (GP)
O-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Texas
@ Kansas (GPS)
A&M
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ Tech
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