BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 02.20.12


Big 12 Conference Standings

(updated 2.19.2012)

Conf Overall
W L W L
#3 Missouri Tigers 12 2 25 2
#4 Kansas Jayhawks 12 2 22 5
#13 Baylor Bears 9 5 22 5
Iowa State Cyclones 9 5 19 8
Kansas State Wildcats 7 7 18 8
Texas Longhorns 7 7 17 10
Oklahoma State Cowboys 6 8 13 14
Texas A&M Aggies 4 10 13 13
Oklahoma Sooners 3 11 13 13
Texas Tech Red Raiders 1 13 8 18

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The two conference leaders remain locked in a collision course for the title that likely will be decided Saturday.

Oklahoma continued its freefall into near-Texas Tech territory. Texas Tech continues to reside down there.

Baylor just can't seem to put any distance between itself and Iowa State.

That could change soon, as Iowa State has some pretty difficult road games coming up.

And, of course, Kansas State and Texas experienced dramatic swings in their respective fortunes.

Seed* Record* Tourney* RPI Pomeroy Sagarin Streak Best Win** Worst Loss** Coach
Kansas 1 16-2 NCAA 6 4 3 W-4 Ohio State Davidson Bill Self
Missouri 2 15-3 NCAA 9 8 8 W-7 Kansas Oklahoma State Frank Haith
Iowa State 3 11-7 NCAA 41 34 36 W-1 Kansas Drake Fred Hoiberg
Baylor 4 11-7 NCAA 10 17 17 L-1 Saint Mary's Kansas State Scott Drew
Kansas State 5 10-8 NCAA 49 26 25 W-1 Missouri Oklahoma (2) Frank Martin
Texas 6 10-8 Bubble 51 22 20 L-1 Temple Oregon State Rick Barnes
Oklahoma State 7 7-11 None 101 91 91 W-1 Missouri Texas A&M Travis Ford
Oklahoma 8 5-13 None 115 108 97 L-6 Oral Roberts Texas Tech Lon Kruger
Texas A&M 9 4-14 None 156 111 112 L-1 Oklahoma State Rice Billy Kennedy
Texas Tech 10 1-17 None 228 241 218 L-2 Oklahoma DePaul Billy Gillispie

Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)

*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI

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Discussion

Which is more impressive, Missouri's winning streak or Oklahoma's losing streak?

All I know is that between them, there is no consistency. Each of those teams has not won or lost more than one game in a row. That's why it's the muddied middle, I guess.

The North is rising, with Iowa State and Kansas making strong projected moves upward in the seed order, while the South is falling, with Baylor and Texas both suffering upset losses that damaged their stock.

GAMER: Now has Kansas State winning at Texas A&M.

Pomeroy: No changes.

Sagarin: No changes.

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Self-Evaluation

After every 5-0 binge, there is an inevitable 3-2 hangover. Curse you, algorithmic alcohol!

I told you I had a funny feeling about Baylor, but even I was a little surprised we actually managed to pull it off.

Oklahoma State's fireworks, however, were somewhat less surprising. It sure was funny to watch Texas taste a little of its own medicine, though.

OUTLOOK is all in on the home teams this week, except for the woeful Aggies, of course. Baylor, Oklahoma State and Kansas State would appear to have the best chances to pull off road victories, in that order.

Cumulative pick record: 55-15 (.786)

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Key

Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:

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Predicted Outcomes

01.02-01.04
4-1 (.800)
52 A&M
61 Baylor
49 Oklahoma
87 Missouri
71 Texas
77 I-State
49 K-State
67 Kansas
59 Tech
67 O-State
01.07
3-2 (.600)
59 Missouri
75 K-State
72 Kansas
61 Oklahoma
74 I-State
50 A&M
73 Baylor
60 Tech
49 O-State
58 Texas
01.09-01.11
4-1 (.800)
65 Oklahoma
72 O-State
75 Baylor
73 K-State
76 Missouri
69 I-State
81 Kansas
46 Tech
51 A&M
61 Texas
01.14
4-1 (.800)
65 O-State
106 Baylor
73 I-State
82 Kansas
73 Texas
84 Missouri
73 K-State
82 Oklahoma
54 Tech
67 A&M
01.16-01.18
5-0 (1.000)
74 Baylor
92 Kansas
51 A&M
70 Missouri
55 Tech
64 Oklahoma
68 O-State
71 I-State
80 Texas
84 K-State
01.21
3-2 (.600)
89 Missouri
88 Baylor
66 K-State
58 O-State
75 Oklahoma
81 A&M (OT)
76 I-State
52 Tech
69 Kansas
66 Texas
01.23-01.25
4-1 (.800)
54 A&M
64 Kansas
77 Baylor
65 Oklahoma
55 I-State
62 Texas
72 Missouri
79 O-State
69 K-State
47 Tech
01.28
3-2 (.600)
71 Texas
76 Baylor
64 Kansas
72 I-State
63 Oklahoma
60 K-State
50 Tech
63 Missouri
61 O-State
76 A&M
01.30-02.01
5-0 (1.000)
67 Missouri
66 Texas
70 K-State
72 I-State
80 O-State
63 Tech
62 Oklahoma
84 Kansas
63 Baylor
60 A&M
02.04
4-1 (.800)
53 A&M
64 K-State
71 Kansas
74 Missouri)
64 Baylor
60 O-State
77 I-State
70 Oklahoma
57 Tech
74 Texas
02.06-02.08
4-1 (.800)
71 Missouri
68 Oklahoma
70 Texas
68 A&M
46 Tech
65 K-State
67 I-State
69 O-State
68 Kansas
54 Baylor
02.11
4-1 (.800)
46 A&M
69 I-State
66 O-State
81 Kansas
57 Baylor
72 Missouri
47 Oklahoma
65 Tech
64 K-State
75 Texas
02.13-02.15
5-0 (1.000)
64 I-State
79 Baylor
59 Kansas
53 K-State
69 Texas
58 Oklahoma
47 A&M
38 Tech
65 O-State
83 Missouri
02.18
3-2 (.600)
57 K-State
56 Baylor
69 Oklahoma
80 I-State
50 Tech
83 Kansas
78 Texas
90 O-State
71 Missouri
62 A&M
02.20-02.22
Baylor
@ Texas (GPS)
K-State
@ Missouri (GPS)
Tech
@ I-State (GPS)
O-State
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ A&M
02.25
Oklahoma
@ Baylor (GPS)
I-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Missouri (G)
@ Kansas (PS)
A&M
@ O-State (GPS)
Texas (GPS)
@ Tech
02.27-02.29
Tech
@ Baylor (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ O-State
K-State (GPS)
@ A&M
I-State
@ Missouri (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Texas (GPS)
03.03
Baylor (S)
@ I-State (GP)
O-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Texas
@ Kansas (GPS)
A&M
@ Oklahoma (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ Tech
X
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