BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 02.14.11


Big 12 Conference Standings

(updated 2.13.2011)


 

How depressing is the state of this conference when Kansas State, in all its unholy suckitude, still is only two games back of third place — and a team that it inexplicably was within a minute of beating on the road?

Other than that, I don't have much to say. Saturday settled virtually nothing. The middle of this league still is a God-awful mess.

And with a loss looming tonight, K-State appears to be much closer to Texas Tech than it is to Texas A&M. Frack.

Seed* Record* Tourney* RPI Pomeroy Sagarin Streak Best Win** Worst Loss** Coach
Texas 1 16-0 NCAA 7 4 4 W-10 Kansas USC Rick Barnes
Kansas 2 15-1 NCAA 1 2 1 W-6 Arizona Texas Bill Self
Texas A&M 3 10-6 NCAA 30 42 37 W-2 Missouri Nebraska Mark Turgeon
Missouri 4 9-7 NCAA 27 20 23 W-1 Vanderbilt Colorado Mike Anderson
Baylor 5 8-8 Bubble 64 50 48 L-1 Texas A&M Iowa State Scott Drew
Colorado 6 7-9 NIT 93 57 55 W-1 Missouri San Francisco Tad Boyle
Oklahoma State 7 7-9 NIT 55 82 79 L-1 Missouri Texas Tech Travis Ford
Kansas State 8 7-9 Bubble 40 45 38 L-1 Baylor Colorado (2) Frank Martin
Nebraska 9 6-10 NIT 90 47 51 W-1 Texas A&M Davidson Doc Sadler
Oklahoma 10 4-12 None 122 129 130 L-3 Baylor Chaminade Jeff Capel
Texas Tech 11 4-12 None 150 142 145 L-3 Oklahoma State TCU Pat Knight
Iowa State 12 3-13 CBI 140 77 69 L-7 Baylor Texas Tech Fred Hoiberg

Note: As any of these numbers change, I will bold and color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)

*Predicted
**According to RealTimeRPI

 

Discussion

One of the byproducts of a 6-0 predictive day is that absolutely nothing changes in the projected seed order.

So, there's very little to discuss, other than the usual computer tweaks.

For instance, the game in Lubbock was an unusual specimen. The winner, Texas A&M, lost traction in two of three systems. The loser, Texas Tech, rose in two of three. Ain't it hell when the Big 12 dregs drag you down, Aggies?

The only other item of note was my demotion of Oklahoma State from the bubble. And the Cowboys aren't going back there until they beat somebody on the road.

That was a pitiful display in Lincoln, surpassed only by the s***tiness the Cats delivered in Boulder.

GAMER: Now has Colorado winning at Texas Tech.

Pomeroy: Now has Missouri winning at Kansas State.

Sagarin: No changes.

 

Self-Evaluation

I went 6-0. I wish I hadn't. I think we all know why.

Missouri, Texas and Texas A&M all appear relatively safe this week. And Kansas should enjoy its typical, comfy visit to The Octagon of Doom Allen Fieldhouse West.

The only game with the potential to screw with me is Nebraska at Oklahoma. GAMER's been calling that one for the Sooners for a month now, but KenPom and Sagarin aren't biting. Neither result would surprise me, really.

Cumulative pick record: 47-14 (.770)

 

Key

Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order. Winners are predicted by a best-of-three system comprising three statistical prediction models:

Predicted Outcomes

01.08
4-1 (.800)
76 Missouri
89 Colorado
62 K-State
76 O-State
62 I-State
63 Nebraska
69 A&M
51 Oklahoma
71 Baylor
59 Tech
01.11-01.12
5-1 (.833)
83 Texas
52 Tech
61 Oklahoma
74 Baylor
84 Kansas
79 I-State
74 Colorado
66 K-State
69 Nebraska
77 Missouri
48 O-State
71 A&M
01.15
6-0 (1.000)
71 O-State
75 Colorado
57 Baylor
72 I-State
60 Tech
94 K-State
60 Nebraska
63 Kansas
89 Missouri
91 A&M (OT)
46 Oklahoma
66 Texas
01.17-01.19
5-1 (.833)
85 Kansas
65 Baylor
59 K-State
75 Missouri
67 Colorado
79 Nebraska
74 Tech
83 Oklahoma
87 I-State
96 O-State (OT)
60 A&M
81 Texas
01.22
3-3 (.500)
57 O-State
76 Baylor
60 Colorado
67 Oklahoma
56 K-State
64 A&M
74 Texas
63 Kansas
54 I-State
87 Missouri
71 Nebraska
72 Tech
01.24-01.26
3-1 (.750)
61 Baylor
69 K-State
82 Kansas
78 Colorado
92 Tech
83 I-State
61 Texas
46 O-State
01.29
4-2 (.667)
66 Colorado
70 Baylor
82 Oklahoma
76 I-State (OT)
66 K-State
90 Kansas
58 Missouri
71 Texas
48 A&M
57 Nebraska
74 O-State
75 Tech (OT)
01.31-02.02
4-2 (.667)
69 Texas
49 A&M
88 Kansas
66 Tech
66 Baylor
73 Oklahoma
69 I-State
95 Colorado
53 Nebraska
69 K-State
70 Missouri
76 O-State
02.05
4-2 (.667)
86 K-State
85 I-State
73 Colorado
89 Missouri
86 Kansas
66 Nebraska
75 Oklahoma
81 O-State
76 Baylor
74 A&M (OT)
60 Tech
76 Texas
02.07-02.09
3-1 (.750)
86 Missouri
103 Kansas
73 A&M
70 Colorado (OT)
70 Nebraska
74 Baylor
68 Texas
52 Oklahoma
02.12
6-0 (1.000)
56 K-State
58 Colorado
66 I-State
89 Kansas
61 Oklahoma
84 Missouri
54 O-State
65 Nebraska
70 A&M
67 Tech
60 Baylor
69 Texas
02.14-02.16
Kansas (GPS)
@ K-State
Tech
@ Missouri (GPS)
I-State
@ A&M (GPS)
Nebraska (PS)
@ Oklahoma (G)
O-State
@ Texas (GPS)
02.19
Tech
@ Baylor (GPS)
Missouri (GPS)
@ I-State
Oklahoma
@ K-State (GPS)
Colorado
@ Kansas (GPS)
Texas (GPS)
@ Nebraska
A&M (PS)
@ O-State (G)
02.21-02.23
O-State
@ Kansas (GPS)
I-State
@ Texas (GPS)
Colorado (GPS)
@ Tech
Baylor
@ Missouri (GPS)
K-State
@ Nebraska (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ A&M (GPS)
02.26
A&M
@ Baylor (GPS)
Texas (GPS)
@ Colorado
Nebraska
@ I-State (GPS)
Missouri (P)
@ K-State (GS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ Oklahoma
Tech
@ O-State (GPS)
02.28-03.02
K-State
@ Texas (GPS)
Missouri (PS)
@ Nebraska (G)
Baylor
@ O-State (GPS)
Colorado
@ I-State (GPS)
A&M
@ Kansas (GPS)
Oklahoma
@ Tech (GPS)
03.05
Texas (GPS)
@ Baylor
Nebraska
@ Colorado (GPS)
I-State
@ K-State (GPS)
Kansas (GPS)
@ Missouri
O-State (PS)
@ Oklahoma (G)
Tech
@ A&M (GPS)
X
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