Week 10 Bowl projections
by EMAW 4 Ever on Nov 6, 2011 9:01 PM CST
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PrintBowl projections from around the Big 12 after week 10 action.
BCS National Championship- Oklahoma State- If Ryan Broyles wasn't hurt against A&M I would have predicted OU to handily beat Oklahoma State especially after the Wildcats played the Cowboys so close in Stillwater, but a key injury will probably allow the Cowboys to run the table.
For more Big 12 bowl projections keep reading after the jump.
Fiesta Bowl- Oklahoma- Like I said before a devastating injury to Ryan Broyles will probably keep the Sooners from winning their 9th strait bedlam game, but OU will almost definitely win there next two games, at a defenseless Baylor team and at home against a very up and down Iowa State team.
Cotton Bowl- Kansas State- K-State lost a heart breaker in Stillwater on Saturday night, but they were in the game clear up until the final play of the game which should provide K-State with some much needed confidence after getting blown out by OU. The cats have a very good chance to go 9-3 or even 10-2, but their hardest test will be at a very good Texas team.
Alamo Bowl- Texas- Texas is one of the hottest teams in the Big 12 right now and impressively flexed both its offensive and defensive muscles against a Texas Tech team that was no doubt shell shocked after getting blown out by Iowa State.
Insight Bowl- Texas A&M- Texas A&M found out what is was like to be K-State on Saturday, and Texas A&M will go up against a very angry and very confident Kansas State Team next weekend in Manhattan. Also the Aggies, who gave up 28 point in the third, have been outscored 162-111 in the second half, and to top it off they still have to play an angry Texas team.
Holiday Bowl- Baylor- Baylor will probably tie A&M for 5th place in the Big 12 as they still have KU and Texas Tech left on the schedule, but A&M will have the head to head tiebreaker as the Bears lost 55-28 to the Aggies earlier this season. But the Bears will have an excellent shot at 7 wins this season.
Texas Bowl- Texas Tech- I am going out on an a limb on this one, but the red raiders are going to have to pull one out at Missouri or against Baylor at the Cotton Bowl as I just can't see them winning at Oklahoma State, but in order for them to win one of these they are going to have to figure out whats wrong and fix it quickly.
Pinstripe Bowl- other conference tie in/Notre Dame- Missouri's bowl hopes were basically ended on Saturday night after they lost to Baylor, while its still possible that the tigers could go to a bowl game, it would take take upsets in at least one game and probably two.
Home for the holidays
Missouri- This will be the first of probably many seasons in which the tigers will be watching bowl games on tv rather than participating in them.
Iowa State- After showing promise a week ago, Iowa State went out and more or less layed an egg against KU.
KU- Any long (and I mean very, very long) shot of KU somehow getting bowl eligible was ended on Saturday when they lost to Iowa State 13-10, their closest conference lost of the year.
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I'm not sure what to make of ISU
They’re going to be treating our game as their bowl, coming off a bye week, which scares me. On the other hand, a 13-10 home victory over KU is pathetic.
They look good one minute and crappy the next
and that is why a consistent KSU team at home should handle them ok. Klein is gaining confidence and watching his gutsy performance in Stillwater brought tears to my eyes. I’m confident we will finish strong.
Bitchslapping Texas since 1997
They're the kind of O I actually like this otherwise ineptly led D against
They like to run, and they have a freshman QB. The Cats won’t piss away senior day, but it will not be easy, unless ISU has multiple TOs.
"If you don't want to work, become a reporter. That awful power, the public opinion of the nation, was created by a horde of self-complacent simpletons who failed at ditch digging and shoemaking and fetched up journalism on their way to the poorhouse." - Mark Twain
interesting take on KK's last hour today
He was of the opinion of if Fiesta had to chose between 10-2 OU (Bedlam loss) and 10-2 KSU, they might actually go KSU b/c OU’s sorta tired of going to the Fiesta Bowl. Their fans have gone so many times in the past decade, it just isn’t a big draw anymore.
"Nor yet in Dell?"
It would make sense, I turned it off to watch PTI really wish I hadn't now
With the BCS when you lost last is very important and the cats would not have lost for around 5 weeks where the sooners last loss would have been in the final week of the regular season.
I'm not so convinced. Sooner is more of a "national" brand than K-State
I think bowls like the Fiesta take into account TV draw, too, don’t they? Or does that money still go straight to the schools?
So, the Sooners may not travel as passionately as the KSU fans, but they would be a bigger advertising draw, I would think. This would be more important for a top-tier bowl like the Fiesta, as opposed to something less appealing like the Texas bowl which is really just looking for whoever can fill the most seats.
Also, the Fiesta, in this scenario, would not have to take any Big 12 team, since the Big 12 team would be in the title game and they would have first or second pick from the at-large pool, correct? So they could theoretically pass on the Big-12.
I’m just shooting from the hip on that hypothesis, so somebody please correct me if I’m wrong on that.
Would you like some Freys with that?
by ChrisP Wildcat on Nov 8, 2011 8:40 PM CST up reply actions
I'd have to re-read my death to the BCS
But I’m not so sure the bowl itself gets a check after the fact based on how the TV ratings ended up. No, instead I think that’s a pre-negotiated price. The Bowl itself (by judgement of the bowl committee) makes its money off of merchandising and ticket sales and sponsorship. So I think the most important thing to it is ticket sales. If OU has a statistical background of trailing off ticket sales, they might remember back to 1997 and 2004 (2003 season obviously) when 35,000 strong made their way to Tempe.
"Nor yet in Dell?"
But would that pre-negotiated price change based on the participants?
Not really trying to argue, just curious, cause I know absolutely nothing about this.
Would you like some Freys with that?
by ChrisP Wildcat on Nov 8, 2011 10:28 PM CST up reply actions
It might depend on the opponent
If it’s against a team with a national brand, KSU might be more acceptable than if we’re playing Cincy.
missouri's bowl hopes basically ended?
it shouldn’t take any upsets for mu to be bowl eligible. they’ll be favored against ku and texas tech at home. they are one point dogs against texas. they just need to win 2 of the 3. i’d definitely bet on them getting to 6-6
Have fun in NY if you do
And I’m not trying to insult or anything…honestly hoping your fanbase doesn’t have a fajillion inches of snow to deal with. I didn’t go or anything, just saying have fun. We’d actually appreciate someone in the conference taking one for the team and going to Yankee Stadium so the rest of us don’t have to. Oh and have fun with the scheduling logistics of walk-throughs and what not throughout the week with lower manhattan traffic.
"Nor yet in Dell?"
Hey, I loved my trip to NY last year
Definitely one of the best trips I’ve ever been on.
Would you like some Freys with that?
by ChrisP Wildcat on Nov 10, 2011 1:20 PM CST up reply actions
If let's say OU were to be upset again.
And then lost to O-State, and then we proceeded to end out 10-2. Wouldn’t our rather high BCS ranking which will be bound to go up, put us in eligibility for the BCS almost automatically? Then again I’m probably not factoring the other teams in the BCS bowl hunt as much as I should.
Bobby Hill: What's a meat examination team?
Hank Hill: It's like a debate team, only instead of doing something useless you get to grade the cut and quality of meat!
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