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BRACKET BLOG: National Championship

Tonight is the end of the road. For those of you who, like me, can't stand golf, major league baseball or the NBA playoffs, this is the last bright spot in the sporting world until August, which makes the next four months the longest in my personal sports calendar.

I sure love March/April Madness, but it's like the last oasis before I have to cross the Sahara Desert.

But it isn't quite over yet. For anyone who cares to join me in attempting to overcome "What might have been..." and watch tonight's game intently, without dwelling on how the Cats might have matched up with Duke, feel free to use the comments section of this post as a national championship open game thread.

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The National Championship

No. 1 Duke (34-5) vs. No. 5 Butler (33-4)
April 5 | 8:21 p.m. | Indianapolis

How They Got Here:
No. 1 Duke 78, No. 2 West Virginia 57
No. 5 Butler 52, No. 5 Michigan State 50

Let's get one thing straight: This isn't David vs. Goliath.

It's more like Abel vs. Cain or Esau vs. Jacob.

Butler and Duke are more alike than most would care to admit. Oh, sure, Duke has the more highly touted and recruited players across the board, but that hasn't meant jack until this season. The Blue Devils haven't gone any further in the NCAA Tournament during the three previous years than Butler has — the Sweet Sixteen.

They play similar styles, they defend and rebound similarly, and their coaches both fail to display normal human aging in a way that defies explanation. I won't say the two teams are clones of each other, but they might be fraternal twins.

Besides, for all of Duke's four- and five-star talent, Gordon Hayward will be by far the best pro on the floor tonight.

As far as individual match-ups, Duke probably should be favored. The Devils are way more consistent in their outside shooting, and for at least the duration of this tournament, have been offensively rebounding out of their minds — thanks mostly to the senior metamorphosis of Brian Zoubek from bench player to invaluable starter.

And as good as Shelvin Mack has been, I have to think Duke has the superior back-court in Jon Scheyer and Nolan Smith.

But if I've learned one thing in the last month, it's never to underestimate Butler's scrappiness and resolve. The Bulldogs just find ways to win, even if it never looks impressive. I wouldn't bet on them to win, but I sure as hell won't count them out, either.

As usual, figuring out who will win is simple. If Butler can control the tempo and keep the 3s in check, and thus hold Duke to 60 or fewer points, they'll probably be able to win. If Duke can push the pace and get the game into the 70s or higher, Mike Krzyzewski will hoist his second trophy this decade.

Oh, and here's a little trivia for you: With a win tonight, Butler would become the first No. 5 seed ever to win a national championship.

GAMER: no predicted score
KenPom: Duke 66, Butler 59
Sagarin: Duke 65, Butler 60

Poll
Who will be the national champion?
No. 1 Duke
23 votes
No. 5 Butler
24 votes

47 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 25 comments |

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Comments

Display:

I feel like the media is missing the real story here

Sure its a “Cinderella” (Top-15 most of the season?) vs. a the true blue-blood, but aren’t Butler and Duke more similar than they are different?
Both have enrollments below 7,000 people.
Both located in the heart of basketball country in their respective regions.
Both place a high standard on academics.
Both were built on great defense (Duke has been able to get players for the last 20 years, but D is where Coach K. got started)
I mean really, all that’s separating Butler from Duke is 25 years of Stevens coaching there. Don’t know if I’d be counting on that…but he is from Indiana and he’s got a pretty good system set up. Maybe the IU job opens up in a couple years but I get the feeling the boosters will get a package together this offseason to keep him there at least till that bridge needs to be crossed.

by 2.1 seconds left on Apr 5, 2010 1:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Probably won't comment much...

…but I’ll be watching the game. Would like to see Butler pull it off.

Agree with 2.1 above, there are a lot of story lines I haven’t seen get much run in everyone’s rush to David-and-Goliath this thing. Don’t forget, Butler was a preseason top-10 team, beat some really good teams and only lost four games on the year.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Apr 5, 2010 8:09 PM CDT reply actions  

I Love Golf

But it has been a great BB season and BOTC has made it a lot better. I’m glad I’ve found the blog and have enjoyed all of it. Good work.
I think Butler has more than an even chance in this game. They showed that when they hit the cold spell during the Mich St game. They have a defensive system in place that is tough, as the Cats can well attest to.
Tough minded team that plays tough defense and has enough offensive skills to match up with Duke. I think it’s a toss up.

by ArkieCat on Apr 5, 2010 8:48 PM CDT reply actions  

Not only are the Bulldogs hanging in there, but they actually lead

Duke’s on track for about 50 points right now.

Which means Butler’s doing it again.

by BracketCat on Apr 5, 2010 8:52 PM CDT reply actions  

Need a good second half now...

…with Duke at 30 at halftime.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Apr 5, 2010 9:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Err, 33...

…even worse.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Apr 5, 2010 9:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

Officiating is piss-poor...

…not that it’s really favoring either team, but it’s a shame that a national title game is so uneven.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Apr 5, 2010 9:55 PM CDT reply actions  

+1,000,000

watched the game while bowling tonight (Monday night league)… The officiating was HORRENDOUS. I’m sure there is a better word for it, but only if it means even worse than horrendous. Started out pro-Duke horrendous, transmogrified (any Calvin & Hobbes fans here?) into totally both-sided horrendous, then went the last 10 minutes or so pro-Duke horrendous. I have never watched a game with so many no-calls and calls where I looked around in total disbelief – “They called (didn’t call) THAT?!!!??”…

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Apr 5, 2010 11:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

+1

For verbing “transmogrified.”

I see your C&H reference and raise you one.

by BracketCat on Apr 6, 2010 10:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Anyone else think these refs just have been TERRIBLE?

If Butler wins, it’ll have been one hell of accomplishment to overcome the 5-on-8 play.

If that wasn’t an intentional foul by Lance Thomas on the arm hook/tackle, then what the hell is?

by BracketCat on Apr 5, 2010 10:17 PM CDT reply actions  

The sonofaguns are trying to do it again

You really have to admire the way Butler keeps hanging in there!

by TheGoodOmen on Apr 5, 2010 10:29 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Oh, man

Destiny denied.

Hayward kinda choked there at the end.

Man, I hate Duke.

Oh, well. It’ll be us next year. That will be way much more fun.

by BracketCat on Apr 5, 2010 10:37 PM CDT reply actions  

How did Hayward choke?

He took a tough shot that was straight on but just a tad long, then missed a half-courter by a couple inches. Valiant effort, in my book.

Anybody else catch the pick body check Howard threw on Singler on the last play? Even though the shot didn’t go in, watching Singler take a shot like that was a decent parting gift.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Apr 5, 2010 10:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

I liked the hit as well.

Howard had to get revenge on somebody after Zoubek threw him to the ground on that rebound that went off his foot. Please tell me how THAT wasn’t a foul?

Surgeon General's Warning: K-State-Mizzou basketball may increase the risk of high blood pressure. Please consult your doctor prior to watching any of these games.

by mystman995 on Apr 6, 2010 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

He was 2 of 11

They needed him to be a lot better than that. There was no way that second-to-last shot was going down with the way he was shooting.

They needed to either drive and try to get a close look or a foul (good luck with that, the way the refs were swallowing their whistles inside), or kick out to an open shooter — not take a bad fallaway from behind the backboard. The fact that he even drew rim was impressive, but it definitely was not what they needed.

by BracketCat on Apr 6, 2010 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well guess who got to 60.

Really thought Butler was going to do it.

by Catbacker98 on Apr 5, 2010 10:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Anybody else think the game was overhyped?

An Epic game? One of the greatest games? No way in hell.

They played Butler’s type of basketball – slow and ugly. Butler had another huge shooting drought – then missed key shots to take the lead or to tie.

It just seemed like another game where the underdog couldn’t quite pull it off.

Surgeon General's Warning: K-State-Mizzou basketball may increase the risk of high blood pressure. Please consult your doctor prior to watching any of these games.

by mystman995 on Apr 6, 2010 11:18 AM CDT reply actions  

Agreed...

I believe the “greatness” of the game to be coming from the fact that it was played entirely within an 8-pt maximum swing (2 pt Butler lead, 6 pt Duke lead – max’s). However, I never got the feeling of “hey, Butler may win this”… had calls been going their way 50/50 (or even close to “going Butler’s way at times”) I might have thought Hayward’s two last minute chances would drop.

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Apr 6, 2010 11:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

Is it bad that I just couldn't care less about this game?

I didn’t pay any more attention to this final four than to the Women’s bracket. I wonder if it is sour grapes, or just apathy towards bball after following so closely since December.

by Sean T on Apr 6, 2010 12:16 PM CDT reply actions  

I didn't care about Butler/MSU

but both Duke games I wanted so badly for Duke-opponent to win. Duke doesn’t really deserve any more than they have already got. For maybe another 15 years, nothing should go their way. >.<

How about them for sour grapes?

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Apr 6, 2010 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

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