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RPI WATCH: 2/14/2010

A brief recap of Saturday's non-conference outcomes (Big 12 discussion, as always, will be in tonight's BIG 12 OUTLOOK):

  • Alabama really surprised me by beating SEC West Division leader Arkansas. The Crimson Tide, who might make an NIT appearance after all, surged back into the RPI Top 100, albeit perhaps temporarily.
  • Boston, Loyola, Pine Bluff and Western Illinois each collected a nice conference win — always a positive.
  • Cleveland State lost a tough one to Butler. I thought that if the Bulldogs were going to lose a conference game, yesterday was the one. Looks like they will run the table.
  • Dayton really hurt itself with a 2OT loss at Saint Louis. All the ground the Flyers made up by beating Xavier and Charlotte at home dissipated yesterday, and now they must start from scratch.
  • Fort Hays State is starting to crumble at the worst time. No. 3 Central Missouri avenged a loss to the Tigers on its home floor earlier this year, pounding them by 16 points in Hays. Ugly.
  • IUPUI lost a one-point game at Oral Roberts. How did the Golden Eagles lose to Western Illinois at home, but beat IUPUI? That's sort of like beating Texas, then losing to Oklahoma State...
  • UNLV completed a perfectly awful week by getting thrashed in San Diego. The Runnin' Rebels, who don't handle prosperity or rankings very well, can kiss the Mountain West championship goodbye.
  • Washington State is so bad, I really shouldn't even address it anymore. But blowing huge halftime leads at both Stanford and Cal is its own special form of ignominy. The Cougars' season can't end fast enough.
  • And to close on a positive note, Xavier nabbed a great road win against NIT-bound (for the third straight season — remember when the Gators were winning back-to-back titles?) Florida and moved itself from the bubble to near-lock status. Way to go, Musketeers!

Star-divide

A quick note on the format. I've restructured things slightly to align more with RealTimeRPI's conventions, something I should have done a while ago.

That site defines a quality win as one over a team with an RPI between 31 and 100, while a "signature" win is one versus the RPI Top 30 — those most likely to make the NCAA Tournament as at-large teams.

Similarly, a bad loss is one to a team ranked between 101 and 200, while a really bad loss is one to a sub-200 team.

As such, I've redefined the two quality-win categories accordingly and done away with the bold nonsense. No change was made to the loss category, since K-State has no bad losses. Hopefully, this will help to present a better picture of our tournament profile.

AP Ranking = 9

ESPN/USA Today Ranking = 9

Record = 20-4

Big 12 Record = 7-3

RPI = 8

SOS = 5

Signature Wins (RPI 1-30) = Dayton, Xavier, Texas A&M, Texas, Baylor

Quality Wins (RPI 31-100) = IUPUI, UNLV, Alabama

Bad Losses (RPI 101 or greater) = none

  • Loyola Chicago (14-11, 5-10) | RPI = 181: Win over UI Chicago (80-63)
  • Western Illinois (11-14, 4-10) | RPI = 275: Win at Centenary (64-55)
  • Boston University (14-12, 9-5) | RPI = 170: Win over Hartford (58-55)
  • Ole Miss (17-7, 5-5) | RPI = 45
  • Dayton (17-7, 6-4) | RPI = 30: Loss at Saint Louis (68-65 in double overtime)
  • IUPUI (18-9, 11-3) | RPI = 99: Loss at Oral Roberts (61-60)
  • No. 10* FHSU (18-4): Loss to No. 3 Central Missouri (79-63)
  • Washington State (15-10, 5-8) | RPI = 118: Loss at Cal (86-70)
  • Xavier (17-7, 8-2) | RPI = 20: Win at Florida (76-64)
  • No. 23 UNLV (19-6, 7-4) | RPI = 34: Loss at San Diego State (68-58)
  • Alabama (14-11, 4-7) | RPI = 95: Win over Arkansas (73-68)
  • UAPB (9-14, 9-3) | RPI = 224: Win at Southern (66-62)
  • Cleveland State (13-13, 9-5) | RPI = 131: Loss to No. 18 Butler (70-59)
  • South Dakota (14-9) | RPI = 231
  • Missouri (18-7, 6-4) | RPI = 44: Loss at No. 24 Baylor (64-62)
  • Texas A&M (18-6, 7-3) | RPI = 13: Win at Texas Tech (67-65)
  • Colorado (11-13, 2-8) | RPI = 143: Loss at No. 9 Kansas State (68-51)
  • No. 14 Texas (20-5, 6-4) | RPI = 28: Win over Nebraska (91-51)
  • Oklahoma State (17-7, 5-5) | RPI = 37: Win over Oklahoma (97-76)
  • No. 24 Baylor (19-5, 6-4) | RPI = 18: Win over Missouri (64-62)
  • No. 1 Kansas (24-1, 10-0) | RPI = 1: Win over Iowa State (73-59)
  • Nebraska (13-12, 1-9) | RPI = 126: Loss at No. 14 Texas (91-51)
  • Iowa State (13-12, 2-8) | RPI = 107: Loss at No. 1 Kansas (73-59)
  • Oklahoma (13-11, 4-6) | RPI = 88: Loss at Oklahoma State (97-76)
  • Texas Tech (16-8, 4-6) | RPI = 36: Loss to Texas A&M (67-65)

*Division II Top 25

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I like the format/display change, BC

With the way the Top 8 went this week, where is it most likely for us to end up? How many/who do we jump of?

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Feb 14, 2010 7:20 PM CST reply actions  

Bait taken?

Ok, what about preliminary thoughts on your Power 16 for this week? :-D

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Feb 14, 2010 10:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Oh, no, no

I never tip my hand early. ;-D

by BracketCat on Feb 15, 2010 12:20 AM CST up reply actions  

We are now well-positioned...

for a #2 seed. Winning the rest of games would clinch a #2. Losing one game and doing well in the Big 12 Tourney would keep us on the cusp for a #2.

by Catbacker98 on Feb 15, 2010 12:19 AM CST reply actions  

Lunardi has now moved us

to a 2 seed.

The bad news? If his current bracket were to occur, our second-round game would be against Dayton or Northern Iowa, which would cause me all sorts of tsouris. And then a potential sweet sixteen game against Butler… auuuuugh.

This space for rent.

by jonfmorse on Feb 15, 2010 10:29 PM CST reply actions  

Good thing

it isn’t reality yet, eh? ;-)

--VegasCat07

by VegasCat07 on Feb 15, 2010 11:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Oh, bring that on

We would crush all three of them.

Are you kidding me? No way can mid-majors handle our athleticism in March.

by BracketCat on Feb 16, 2010 11:06 AM CST up reply actions  

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