I don't pretend to be an expert and from where I live, I can't even watch the games. But it seems so apparent to me that the Wildcats have ridden Carson Coffman as far as they can. We got to a 4-1 start with him, and he gets some credit for being good enough when it mattered against UCLA and UCF.
But with him at the helm, the offense is as good as it's going to get. It's clear that if decent defense key on DT, they can stop him. There's nothing we've seen (in my case heard or read) about Coffman that suggests he can lead this team to a good season. Teams can win quite a few games with a QB who can't be counted on to throw for a hundred yards, but not when that team will often have to throw 20-25 times to get so few yards.
At least with Lamur, you have an athletic option who might be able to find different ways to make the offense move without a downfield passing game. Good Paul Johnson teams could be quite dangerous. Sammy is said to have a stronger arm and has the ability, perhaps, to make something out of nothing on a semi-regular basis.
If Bill sticks with Carson, this is a 6-7 win maximum team, and that's not really a very lofty goal. In the days before the proliferation of events like the Depends Adult Diaper Bowl, that was nothing to crow about. I dislike the idea of settling for this as a best case scenario. Hell, make the Cats into a wishbone option type of team, or at least give it a shot. This sort of offense might at least catch a few teams by surprise and just might click enough to beat a few more teams. But with Carson behind center, this offense will be predictable and incredibly defendable. They should beat NTU and likely another weak team or two.
This upcoming game with KU is no gimme. North Dakota State aside, the Cats aren't inherently better than the Jayhawks, especially in Lawrence. The safe bet, I guess, is to hope that the KU secondary is porous enough to leave a few receivers wide open and that Carson can hit a couple of them. But that's no certainty and at least an athletic QB would give the Hawks something else to think about. And at this point, it seems not rash to risk the extra turnover or two, if it means a realistic shot at some big plays.
Carson may well be the better passer. But the K-State passing game is a non-entity. A running QB with a handful of other good athletes to work with seems the way to go.