BIG 12 OUTLOOK: 03.09.09 (Postseason Awards Edition)
It's Big 12 Tournament time! Let the games begin!
Big 12 Outlook will morph a bit this week. In this edition, I take a look at the overall predictive performance for the 2009 conference season and hand out my end-of-season awards. Later in the week, Outlook will project tournament outcomes based on current available information.
There will be a Big 12 Outlook posted every morning of the tournament, which I may or may not update throughout the day with game outcomes. It depends on how busy I am at work. However, I do hope the comments section on said entries will function as a live discussion for the BOTC community, much as our game threads do already.
| Seed | Record | RPI | Pomeroy | Sagarin | Streak | Best Win* | Worst Loss* | Coach | |
| Kansas | 1 | 14-2 | 8 | 10 | 10 | W-1 | Missouri | UMass | Bill Self |
| Oklahoma | 2 | 13-3 | 4 | 18 | 8 | W-1 | Purdue | Arkansas | Jeff Capel |
| Missouri | 3 | 12-4 | 11 | 11 | 12 | L-1 | Kansas | Nebraska | Mike Anderson |
| Kansas State | 4 | 9-7 | 77 | 41 | 44 | W-1 | Missouri | Oregon | Frank Martin |
| Texas | 5 | 9-7 | 36 | 27 | 26 | L-1 | UCLA | Arkansas | Rick Barnes |
| Texas A&M | 6 | 9-7 | 29 | 45 | 41 | W-6 | Missouri | Baylor | Mark Turgeon |
| Oklahoma State | 7 | 9-7 | 26 | 32 | 32 | L-1 | Texas | Baylor | Travis Ford |
| Nebraska | 8 | 8-8 | 69 | 61 | 70 | W-2 | Missouri | UMBC | Doc Sadler |
| Baylor | 9 | 5-11 | 75 | 64 | 63 | L-2 | Arizona State | Iowa State | Scott Drew |
| Iowa State | 10 | 4-12 | 160 | 115 | 113 | W-1 | Houston | SDSU | Greg McDermott |
| Texas Tech | 11 | 3-13 | 129 | 95 | 101 | L-1 | Kansas | Lamar | Pat Knight |
| Colorado | 12 | 1-15 | 233 | 180 | 202 | L-11 | Iowa State | Montana State | Jeff Bzdelik |
Note: As any of these numbers change, I will color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)
*According to Pomeroy rating
Self-Evaluation
Big 12 Outlook went out with a semi-whimper, going 4-2 on the final Saturday. Missouri's loss, although perhaps predictable with an "eyeball test," even prevented Outlook from correctly predicting the final seed order, as Texas A&M jumped Oklahoma State in the 9-7 tie mess, while Missouri fell back below the Oklahoma team they beat earlier in the week.
The other whiff was thanks to the ever-underachieving Baylor Bears, who I swear must be responsible for at least 5 of my 22 incorrect picks. I have some more thoughts on this in my awards, but Scott Drew did a bang-up job of wasting a lot of good talent this season.
By the way, who do you think will win the tournament? Be sure to scroll to the bottom of the page and vote in my poll. As for Outlook's opinion on the 1st round outcomes, you'll have to wait until Wednesday morning for those predictions. Today is more about looking back at where we've been more than where we're going.
All told, Outlook correctly predicted the outcomes of 74 of the 96 conference games this season, for about 77 percent accuracy. I thus award myself a C+ for the season; not too shabby for my first attempt at this. My goal for next year, though, is 80 percent or better.
Perhaps more impressive were the correct predictions of Kansas State as the No. 4 seed as far back as mid-February, of Oklahoma State's eventual 6-game winning streak as far back as early February and of Missouri's undefeated home season as far back as mid-January.
Final pick record: 74-22 (.771)
Postseason Awards: The Botcies
The Big 12 Conference awarded its postseason honors to players and coaches today, as well as selecting its 1st, 2nd and 3rd all-conference teams and honorable mentions.
Well, I have some disagreements with their selections, which I think are worth debating, as well as some original awards of my own to hand out. Read on to see the winners of the inaugural Botcies... (Get it? BOTCies?)
Player of the Year
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Blake Griffin (Oklahoma) Uh, like I'm going to argue with this? My only wish is that Michael Beasley had stuck around so Blake could have actually had some competition for the award. |
Defensive Players of the Year
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Blake Griffin (Oklahoma) With all due respect to J.T. Tiller and very little due respect to Cole Aldrich, there was no more dominating presence in the paint this season than Blake Griffin. Not one week went by where I didn't drop my jaw at one of his blocks on ESPN's Gym Gems. I don't really have anything against Tiller; I just don't like giving out co-awards very much because I think it's sort of a cop-out. As for Aldrich, honoring him ignores the fact that he got away with a ton of uncalled fouls in the process of accruing those defensive statistics, solely because his jersey said "Kansas." I refuse to ignore that fact. |
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J.T. Tiller (Missouri) EDIT: All right, after some reflection, I decided to make this a co-award after all. What changed my mind? Well, I noticed Tiller was a unanimous selection to the all-defensive team. I figured if the 11 coaches not named Mike Anderson were that impressed with his defensive prowess, why shouldn't I be? |
Newcomer of the Year
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Denis Clemente (Kansas State) Great pick by the Big 12. That said, it's not like there were a ton of options. Mario Little was really the only other transfer that was hyped coming into the season, and he didn't even come close to posting the sort of numbers or having the sort of impact Denis had. I would just like to add that I predicted this award for Denis last summer. I felt like he would have even more of an impact than DeMarre Carroll did last season, and I was right. If you're into handicapping, my early favorite for Newcomer in 2009-10 is Curtis Kelly. |
Freshman of the Year
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Willie Warren (Oklahoma) Also a solid pick. I don't know if he's one-and-done caliber, but there's no denying the kid was damned impressive. Wally Judge will challenge for this award next season, Jayhawks. Better start getting used to the idea now... |
Sixth Man of the Year
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Matt Lawrence (Missouri) Well, the Big 12 got this one half right. Matt Lawrence is probably the scariest spot-up shooter in the league not named Alan Voskuil, who I suppose is disqualified from this award since he is a starter. When I think of Lawrence, I think, "Thank God he's finally a senior!" Paul Velander should get an honorable mention, though. But LaceDarius Dunn? Are you kidding me? I watched this kid very carefully after he lit us up in Manhattan for approximately 137 points, and let me tell you - it was a fluke. Dunn couldn't hit the broad side of a barn in any game I watched Baylor play after that, and the fact that he was the Bears' second-leading scorer and 3-point leader should tell you exactly why they finished 5-11. What a political pick. Hell, Fred Brown deserves this award more than Dunn. |
The Darnell Jackson "Most Improved Senior" Overachievement Award
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Darren Kent (Kansas State) The first of my "original" Botcies, this award is named for Darnell Jackson, the Kansas player who didn't do very much until his senior year, when he was probably the best overall post player on a national championship team. No one other than Jayhawk fans saw that one coming. There is no more deserving recipient of the inaugural Darnell Jackson Award than Darren Kent. When he signed his LOI, many Wildcat fans asked, "Who is this guy?" When Bob Huggins was hired, they were sure he would transfer. When he tried to dribble as a sophomore, they snickered. When he came in for Michael Beasley, they groaned. Then came his senior year, and the awkward caterpillar metamorphosed into a graceful butterfly. He snagged rebounds, he shot jumpers, he banked off the glass, he played rugged defense, he broke his nose and played through the blood and the pain, he twisted his ankle and screamed at the trainers because they didn't get it re-taped fast enough so he could get back in and help his team win. Other than Denis Clemente, no player was more important to the Wildcats this season. White Tiger, you may never have your jersey retired, but know that you will still be missed. |
The Aaron Bruce "Most Regressed Senior" Underachievement Award
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Connor Atchley (Texas) This award is named for the former Baylor guard who stunned the league as a freshman and basically got worse every season of his career. His senior year was by far his least productive, as he became something of an afterthought to younger, more athletic guards like Curtis Jerrells, Henry Dugat, Tweety Carter and LaceDarius Dunn. I don't normally like to dump on players, but the degree to which Connor Atchley's game went to crap this season is so striking it deserves comment. After last season, he looked like he was poised for a breakout alongside talented posts like Damion James and Dexter Pittman, but he instead spent most of the season missing dunks, blowing defensive assignments and being out-shined by Gary Johnson and Clint Chapman. At times, he was almost an active liability to his team. Frankly, these descriptions are nice compared to some of the things I have seen Texas fans call him. |
The Joey Graham "Tough Son of a Bitch" Awards
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Blake Griffin (Oklahoma) I know the concussion didn't look like much, but did you see how this guy played when he came back against Texas Tech? Throughout the season he was tripped, punched in the nuts, whacked in the face multiple times and generally beat up every damn game, but he never complained and he gave as good as he got. What a warrior. |
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Darren Kent (Kansas State) Dude played through a broken nose with no mask at Ames. Enough said. |
Coach of the Year
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Mike Anderson (Missouri) Yeah, yeah, Self's a great coach, but it's not like he replaced all those starters with scrubs, people. Kansas is a program that reloads with top talent, and the Jayhawks returned one of the best guards and the only true center in the league. They were picked 3rd and they finished 1st by virtue of a concussion. It's my opinion that Mike Anderson got screwed. It's a simple matter of numbers: Missouri was picked 7th and finished 3rd, and but for an upset loss Saturday would have finished 2nd. They were one of only two teams to beat the conference champion. Missouri is not a program that reloads with top talent, and Anderson deserves Coach of the Year for making them play like a program that does. Honorable mention goes to Frank Martin, who could have earned it outright had he finished 10-6 again. That Baylor loss still sticks in my craw, though. K-State was picked 8th and finished tied for 4th, which ties Missouri for the most overachievement this season. |
Most Underachieving Coach of the Year
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Scott Drew (Baylor) Baylor lost only Aaron Bruce (who, as I pointed out earlier, was playing so poorly as a senior that he wasn't much of a loss) and returned the entire rest of its team, while adding talented freshman Quincy Acy. The Bears were picked to tie Kansas for 3rd and they finished 9th. They lost to Iowa State and Texas Tech. They lost 10 of their last 12 games. They will be lucky to receive a bid to the NIT. Considering there is apparently quite a lot of grumbling among the other 11 coaching staffs that Baylor is still playing fast and loose with the rules, despite being only five years removed from one of the worst scandals in sports history, you would think such shady tactics and so many talented and experienced guards would produce more than a 5-11 record. Coach Drew, congratulations on one of the worst coaching jobs I have seen in a long time. I hope John Wall and Latavious Williams answer your next phone call with raucous peals of laughter. |
All-Big 12 First Team
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| Craig Brackins | DeMarre Carroll | Denis Clemente | Sherron Collins | Blake Griffin |
| Iowa State | Missouri | Kansas State | Kansas | Oklahoma |
I put a lot of thought into this, and I think it's justified. First, I don't think any one team deserves two entries on this list, not even the champions. Second, I truly don't think Aldrich is that special, and in a normal year for bigs in the Big 12 he wouldn't have the kind of numbers he had this season. He's a good player, but not a great player. That screams 2nd team to me.
Denis Clemente tied the game-high for points set by Michael Beasley (44). He led his team in scoring. He made clutch shots all season long. Most of all, when the team was reeling, he put them on his back and became the leader they needed. The team took on his personality. It was simply electric to watch.
Thus, the top four seeds are represented by their best player, and Brackins, the best pure talent in the league not named Griffin, rounds out the 1st team. Please note that four of the five play in the North - more ammo for North defenders against the ignorant national media.
All-Big 12 Second Team
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| A.J. Abrams | Cole Aldrich | Byron Eaton | Damion James | Willie Warren |
| Texas | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Texas | Oklahoma |
Aldrich switches places with Clemente, and Eaton replaces Anderson. I watched Oklahoma State a lot this year, and although Anderson was definitely their top scorer, Eaton is why that team won six of its last seven and is poised for an NCAA berth under a first-year coach. He saved his best for last, and frankly should have been an honorable mention for the Darnell Jackson Award.
All-Big 12 Third Team
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| James Anderson | Josh Carter | Ade Dagunduro | Cory Higgins | Leo Lyons |
| Oklahoma State | Texas A&M | Nebraska | Colorado | Missouri |
I basically agree with the Big 12 when you get this low, except that I don't think Jerrells warrants any kind of consideration. No one on that crappy team does, frankly.
My honorable mentions would go to Ryan Anderson (Nebraska), Chinemelu Elonu (Texas A&M), Taylor Griffin (Oklahoma), Gary Johnson (Texas), Keiton Page (Oklahoma State), Jacob Pullen (Kansas State), Tyshawn Taylor (Kansas), J.T. Tiller (Missouri) and Alan Voskuil (Texas Tech).
All-Big 12 Defensive Team
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| Cole Aldrich | Blake Griffin | Terrel Harris | Dominique Sutton | J.T. Tiller |
| Kansas | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Kansas State | Missouri |
I will admit that Sutton is a bit of a homer pick, but he's a defensive specialist who has proven his worth many times over. As a freshman, he shut down Brandon Rush by himself. I was a little surprised he didn't even get an honorable mention. Mason and Roland being on there sort of struck me as a "you're not really good enough to even get honorable mention All-Big 12, so we'll give you this cookie instead" consolation prize.
P.S. I thought about Darren Kent, too, since he pretty much shut down Craig Brackins whenever he was assigned to him, which is not something I have seen many players do this year, but I've seen Darren have a few too many defensive breakdowns to go through with it.
All-Big 12 Freshman Team
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| Quincy Acy | Keiton Page | Jamar Samuels | Tyshawn Taylor | Willie Warren |
| Baylor | Oklahoma State | Kansas State | Kansas | Oklahoma |
I'm of the opinion that an All-Rookie team is weak. Clemente was already honored as Newcomer of the Year and 2nd Team by the Big 12, so he's covered. If Zaire Taylor wasn't good enough to be on the top three teams, why should he get a special spot here?
So, the Botcy policy will be to limit this team to true and redshirt freshmen. These are the future stars of the league, except maybe Warren, who may not be back next season.
Acy was the only Baylor player to truly impress me this season, so I included him to throw Baylor a bone after I have thoroughly dissed them in this entry up to this point. That said, it was a dead heat between him and Marcus Morris. Page is going to be a thorn in everyone's side for the next three years. Samuels - despite being unpolished, undersized, inexperienced and inconsistent - was K-State's 4th leading scorer, its blocks leader and one of its leading rebounders, as well as an instant energy guy off the bench. He will be a star player in the near future. Taylor was a pleasant surprise, and provided the Jayhawks the third scorer that Mario Little could never quite consistently be due to injuries.
Key
- P - Ken Pomeroy's ratings (he predicts a probability outcome for each game remaining)
- R - Random coin flip, generated online using a virtual U.S. quarter, Delaware design (heads = home team, tails = road team)
- S - Jeff Sagarin's composite rankings (home court advantage is taken into account)
Obviously, R serves only as a tiebreaker, so it is only listed when there is a split between P and S.
Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order.
Predicted Outcomes
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2 recs |
35 comments
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Comments
NOTE: If you read this between midnight and 1:40 a.m. Monday
You’ll notice I went back and added Tiller as Defensive Player and also added Defensive and Freshman teams.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 1:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad you did so.
I was going to have to bust out a rant if he was left off in favor of Griffin. Griffin is one hell of a presence inside….. when he decides he cares enough to hustle down the floor to play defense. Granted, I understand playing 39 minutes a game can wear you out in a hurry, but at Mizzou Arena, Griffin wanted NO part of hustling down the floor and playing defense at Missouri’s tempo.
Tiller on the other hand is the cog that makes Missouri’s defense run. With Tiller in the game, there almost is no inside game because opposing guard have fits getting into the lane. It’s no surprise that the majority of MIssouri’s losses came with Tiller sitting with foul trouble.
I have no issues with the Griffin/Tiller split DPOY or even the Aldrich/Tiller split, but leaving Tiller off would have been heresy in my eyes.
By the way, LOVED the Aaron Bruce reference. And, good lord, Connor Atchley completely disappeared this year.
by RPT on Mar 9, 2009 1:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that Griffin is inconsistent
But, man, when he’s on, he’d put the fear of God into most NBA players. Truly a man among boys right now.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed on Aldrich - he's a tool.
And I don’t think Clemente is 1st team caliber either – but I’m having a hard time deciding who would be bumped ahead of either Denis or Cole. It’s a down year in the Big 12 as far as major star power talent goes. While UT, aTM, and Okie State have put together good teams, I wouldn’t label any standout 1st teamers on those teams.
Brackens basically carried Iowa State and stood out as a star on a crappy team – and he is on the first team. By those standards you have to give a better look at Cory Higgins from CU. Without him, that team would have been blown out in almost every conference battle.
Eh, the more I keep writing the more confused I am on who I think deserves all-Big 12 merit. Blake Griffin is the only star in the league. Then there’s another 15-18 guys in the league to follow.
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 10:27 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
If Blake Griffin is the only star in this league...
Then how did Sherron Collins get unanimously voted to the First Team? Why is Willie Warren going to get drafted in the lottery? How did James Anderson set himself up for a possible Big XII POY run next year?
The Big XII has stars, they just don’t get picked up by the media, and then one doesn’t hear them in the same sentence as more well known players, and eventually one doesn’t give credit where it is due. This is one of my serious problems with ESPN, in that whatever they say, if they say it enough, becomes true. They say that its a down year for the Big XII and that all the stars are gone about 70+ times over a season and eventually even people who live in the Big XII region start to agree. You have to realize all of those news outlets are on the East Coast, and those that aren’t are on the West Coast. I swear this is part of why a lot of Big East/ACC teams are ranked, in that their games/programs get way more coverage and we hear about them more, so everyone, us included starts believing it when it may not be true.
Anyways, that got a bit long-winded, but its something that randomly will piss me off a ton whenever I think about it.
by 2.1 seconds left on Mar 9, 2009 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I won't speak for mystman...
But I think it’s a matter of semantics. In a league with a lot of stars (several of whom you mentioned), Griffin is the only superstar.
Would you agree to that, MM?
by RPT on Mar 9, 2009 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
Sherron was an unanimously selection well because he is a true first team talent. But he’s no Blake Griffin.
And when I say that the top talent is down this year, I compare it to last year’s talent pool – not necessarily an average year overall for the Big 12 though. And I sure as hell won’t make any references to what anybody on ESPN says. I look at the first team all-big 12 last year and with the exception of Jerrells, that class is much, much stronger.
Michael Beasley was much better than Craig Brackens.
Darnell Jackson was much better than Cole Aldrich.
DJ Augustin was much better than Sherron Collins.
Brandon Rush was much better than Demarre Carrol.
Blake Griffin was much better than Blake Griffin………….
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know...
Blake Griffin wasn’t up for any POY awards last year, was he? I think Blake Griffin may not have been much better than Blake Griffin considering the benchmark: Psycho Teabag…
Not that there’s anything wrong with that.
Hail to the Purple, Hail to the White
Wildcat in spirit, Wildcat in fight
Hail Alma Mater from sea to sea
Onward forever, Hail Victory!
by MadCat on Mar 9, 2009 3:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bill Self said Denis was 1st team worthy
That’s good enough for me.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
KSU was picked to finish in the tank this year, and truthfully...
they have the least amount of overall talent of any team finishing in the top half. The fact that they stepped up and earned a first round bye was due to the play of Denis Clemente first and foremost.
That guy saved our season against Texas and never looked back. I personally had him on the second team (I had Aldrich on the first team), but if we’re ranking the players on the all-conference teams 1-15, I’d have Clemente in 6th place.
"Without getting into specifics, my exit involves a McFlurry machine and a video tape of risque commercials from overseas." -- Jack Donaghy
by Panjandrum on Mar 10, 2009 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah...
2nd team++
…is Aldrich 1st team— ?
Hail to the Purple, Hail to the White
Wildcat in spirit, Wildcat in fight
Hail Alma Mater from sea to sea
Onward forever, Hail Victory!
by MadCat on Mar 10, 2009 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Argh...my minuses got melded!
Hail to the Purple, Hail to the White
Wildcat in spirit, Wildcat in fight
Hail Alma Mater from sea to sea
Onward forever, Hail Victory!
by MadCat on Mar 10, 2009 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
I hear that is high praise, coming from you.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
After 68 votes
you can tell that this is a K-State blog. I want K-State to win the tourney obviously, but I wouldn’t put any money on it.
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 4:29 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
If I were voting for who I want to win...it would be K-State.
I went with Oklahoma instead. Colorado may soon make fools of us all.
Hail to the Purple, Hail to the White
Wildcat in spirit, Wildcat in fight
Hail Alma Mater from sea to sea
Onward forever, Hail Victory!
by MadCat on Mar 9, 2009 4:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ditto
except for the CU part
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah...
I voted K-State because I think we CAN win and it’s just a fun fan poll, but put a gun to my head and I’d say KU or OU.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
not that we would or nothing....
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 11:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Everytime I look at Botcies...
I read ‘Biotches’.
Hail to the Purple, Hail to the White
Wildcat in spirit, Wildcat in fight
Hail Alma Mater from sea to sea
Onward forever, Hail Victory!
by MadCat on Mar 9, 2009 5:00 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Then Cole Aldrich
would sweep the awards.
Man I’ve been hard on him today….
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 5:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not really sure why.
I’ll defend him, respectfully, because he is my guy. To say that Cole is “a tool” is really nothing more than a baseless comment from someone that wishes they had him on their team. He works hard. He plays hard. He isn’t a little cry-baby punk like the REAL tool out in Carolina. He has LOADS of potential. If, and I expect him to, he comes back next year, after another year in the weightroom, and another year of mentoring from Danny Manning, he is going to be RIDICULOUSLY good.
He played the whole first half, and a little more, of the season with no, I mean NO, help on the interior. The Morris twins didn’t start coming around until about four or five games into conference play. And, even then, they weren’t there game in and game out. There is a reason he is a projected lottery pick in the NBA draft. He is a helluva basketball player.
"I log on to RCT after school, and I see the 228 comments on this thread. I actually immediately panicked, because knowing KC, I figured some other fan from another school (most likely Mizzou) came over and said something stupid. Then, KC freaked out at him, and said something stupid (no offense, KC, but this really wouldn’t be that extraordinary for you to pull off) and then there was mass hysteria. I would have to ban people, and warn people, and it’d be mass chaos." - SlowDance
by KCsince88 on Mar 9, 2009 5:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
For shits and giggles I guess
I’m not really attacking Cole, just goofing around. And I’ll go ahead and agree with you that he’ll be even better next season – and that the real tool is the espn hyped tool from that powder blue school.
But as far as wanting him on my team? Depends on the circumstances. I’d take him if you guys were just giving him away. I’d take him if we traded Justin Werner for Cole. Hell I’d even trade him for Luis Colon. But if I were to choose from a pool, I’d take many other “potential lottery” big men before Cole. Many.
Jealous? Not even close.
Man do I hate Longhorn fans, well except for the ones that actually went there.
by mystman995 on Mar 9, 2009 5:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My problem with Aldrich
Isn’t Aldrich himself so much as it is how he has suddenly ascended to godhood status in the local media.
I don’t think that would have happened if they hadn’t won the championship.
I do think he is a very good center, and I said as much. That’s why he’s 2nd team here.
I just don’t see him as an elite, game-changing talent like the five I picked for 1st team.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Question about Coach of the Year justification,
Yeah, yeah, Self’s a great coach, but it’s not like he replaced all those starters with scrubs, people.
Isn’t that one of the most important jobs of a college coach? Especially when he is replacing 6 of his top 7 scorers? He gets punished for being a great recruiter?
I just got back from your mom's basement.
by Warden11 on Mar 9, 2009 8:43 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
While I will admit...
…that I said recently that Bill Self gets my vote for coach of the year, I can’t fault anyone who chooses Mike Anderson. He took a team picked to finish in the lower half of the conference and finished third. Beyond that, his team was a train wreck last year, and he had a bunch of first-year players this season. Much credit to Self, he went from a national champion that lost a bunch of players to a conference champion. Anderson went from a team that was a bunch of retards to a team that is ranked in the top 15.
Sounds like a judgment call to me.
We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats
by TB on Mar 9, 2009 8:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No doubt Anderson has done a great job.
I also can’t fault anyone for choosing him, especially after the trainwreck that was Quin. I just thought the logic seemed weird. I’ve heard that argument used in a couple of other places, too. To me, it seems like we’re discrediting a coach for being a great recruiter.
I’d guess more coaches get canned for being bad recruiters than anything else, so it’s kind of a big deal.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
by Warden11 on Mar 9, 2009 9:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
True, but...
…I’m not sure how great of a recruiter Bill Self is. Does he get elite talent? Clearly. But, much as it pains me to say this, it’s not that hard to recruit to KU. You guys just won a national title last year, for God’s sake, if Self can’t get good players in there, he’d have to be half retarded. You can look at it two ways. Maybe Self is a great recruiter, and that’s why he’s at KU (you could make that argument, given the talent he brought in at Illinois). Or maybe he can just rely on his school’s reputation and the players come to him. The answer is probably that he’s a pretty good recruiter, but gets some help from his school’s name.
One thing that is unquestionable is his ability as a coach.
We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats
by TB on Mar 9, 2009 9:13 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah,
that’s the dark side of my point.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
by Warden11 on Mar 9, 2009 9:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's my take, Warden
I wouldn’t even give Frank Martin credit for good recruiting if he was picked 3rd and finished 1st, especially if they had won at Norman with Blake Griffin out.
To me, it’s just about numbers. Yes, Self has exceeded what I thought he could (mostly because I don’t like KU very much and I was hoping they would come down to earth severely this season), but he only finished two spots higher than they were picked.
I entered the season fully expecting Mike Anderson to get FIRED, and now look where they are – from 7th to 3rd and almost 2nd, an increase of four spots. That’s without ANY Top 25 classes. Dude made a believer out of me. The North is gonna be fun next year.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let me clarify:
If I had to rank them, it would be:
1. Mike Anderson (4)
2. Frank Martin (4) – almost a tie, but like I said, I thought 10-6 was attainable and we didn’t attain it
3. Bill Self (2)
4. Doc Sadler (1)
5. Greg McDermott (+1)
In other words, the entire North overachieved. Is it any shock the North Division tied the South at 18 wins apiece and surprised us all?
P.S. If I had to rank the underachievers, that’s pretty interesting too:
1. Scott Drew (-6)
2. Rick Barnes (-4)
3. Jeff Capel (-1)
4. Mark Turgeon (-1)
5. Travis Ford (-1)
6. Pat Knight (-1)
Some media morons are still gushing over the South, but not ONE SINGLE SOUTH TEAM finished better or even the same as they were predicted. Amazing.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
There should be plus signs in front of those North numbers
Not sure why those didn’t translate.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Frank Martin
turned in a good season (great according to expectations), just a few too many stumbles for him to be in consideration for COY.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
by Warden11 on Mar 9, 2009 10:29 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
For East Coast dorks, Frank Martin massively overachieved.
But since I knew we would finish way better than 8th and would probably contend for a bye as far back as September (because I was actually aware of the existence of Denis Clemente and Jamar Samuels, unlike ESPN), he did not overachieve nearly as much from my perspective.
Do I have high expectations of Frank now? You’re damn straight. Next year I expect an NCAA bid to be a given and to contend for the Big 12 Championship. That’s what happens when you bring in 2 Top 20 classes in 3 years.
Missouri fans probably did not have those kind of expectations.
by BracketCat on Mar 9, 2009 10:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I can't argue with Anderson at all.
A case can be made for both.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
by Warden11 on Mar 9, 2009 10:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs









































