Kansas State Wildcats (6-4 | 4-2) VS. Missouri Tigers (5-4 | 1-4)
Bill Snyder Family Stadium - Manhattan, Kan.
Saturday, Nov. 14, 2009 - 11:30 AM CST
Click the jump for my usual statistical/opinionated analysis. For more detailed information, see Rock M Nation — unofficial second home of the temporarily suspended Unholy Alliance.
Grant Gregory (68 of 114, 731 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT)
Brandon Banks (43 catches, 529 yards, 1 TD)
Daniel Thomas (205 carries, 1,087 yards, 11 TD)
Emmanuel Lamur (51 tackles, 1 TFL, 3 INT, 2 FR)
Blaine Gabbert (181 of 314, 2,364 yards, 17 TD, 7 INT)
Danario Alexander (71 catches, 1,038 yards, 8 TD)
Derrick Washington (140 carries, 562 yards, 5 TD)
Sean Weatherspoon (84 tackles, 11 TFL, 1 INT, 1 FF)
K-State (23 | +9) > MU (102)
MU (21) > K-State (106 | -4)
MU (56) > K-State (78 | -3)
MU (57) > K-State (69 | -11)
MU (17) > K-State (20 | +4)
Pass Efficiency Defense
K-State (60 | +3) > MU (63)
K-State (43) > MU (45)
K-State (45 | +14) > MU (63)
MU (7) > K-State (77 | +10)
K-State (44 | -1) > MU (49)
K-State (4 | +1) > MU (103)
K-State (6 | +8) > MU (69)
K-State (83 | -2) > MU (89)
MU (49) > K-State (76 | -6)
Second verse, same as the first. If you covered up the numbers and just listed them as "Team A" and "Team B," you would see very little statistical difference between Kansas and Missouri. They're both spread teams who are good at passing the ball and defending the pass (likely because they see it every day in practice), but they both also suck at running the ball or stopping the run.
And just like last week, I say to throw out the stats. I think Mizzou will come in with their backs against the wall and give us everything we want in the first half. Blaine Gabbert isn't nearly as turnover-prone as Todd Reesing, so we're going to have to win this the old-fashioned way: D-Train left, D-Train right, D-Train up the middle.
One thing's for sure: If we lead at halftime, it's over. Missouri hasn't scored a TD in the second half of any of its conference games and Bill Snyder has a prodigious record when leading at the half, especially at home.
Furthermore, Bill Snyder is undefeated against Missouri at home in November and undefeated against Gary Pinkel. Things are unraveling in Columbia, and I don't think this is the best place for them to try and put it all back together.
Prediction: Kansas State 27, Missouri 25
BracketCat's Projected Starters
QB: Grant Gregory
FB: Braden Wilson*
RB: Daniel Thomas
*if we start with a fullback and two wide receivers
**if we start with three wide receivers and no fullback
Elsewhere in the Big 12...
We're keeping it all in the divisions this week, and the pecking order in both the North and the South should become a lot clearer after Saturday's games.
In general, I like the home teams, except in the case of rapidly fading Kansas and outmatched Baylor. Whaddaya know? The two traditional Big 12 bottom-feeders, unable to defend their home turf? Just like old times, says I.
#2 Texas at Baylor (FSN)
Longhorns 28, Bears 10
Colorado at Iowa State
Cyclones 35, Buffaloes 28
Nebraska at Kansas (ABC)
Cornhuskers 25, Jayhawks 22
Texas A&M at Oklahoma (FSN)
Sooners 28, Aggies 18
Texas Tech at #17 Oklahoma State (ABC)
Cowboys 22, Red Raiders 16
All helmet images are courtesy of The Helmet Project. Check it out - it's pretty cool.