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Why Opposing Fans Shouldn't Count K-State Out of the Big 12 North Race Juuuust Yet

If you're a true Wildcat fan, you read the headline of this post and did a double take.  "What's that?  Why would anyone count us out?!  We lead the Big 12 North, by a full game -- actually, more like 1.5, because we own the tiebreaker over second-place Iowa State -- at the halfway point of the conference season!"  Take a deep breath after that ultra-long run-on sentence you just yelled and read on.

Here's the reason for the caveat.  First, I take everything I see this season advisedly.  A team with losses to Louisiana and UCLA can't take anything for granted.  It's conceivable that we go winless from here on out and fade to afterthought status.

On the other hand, we do lead the division race with only four games to play.  What's more, the teams considered our strongest challengers are 1-2, 1-2 and 0-3 respectively.  That's not intended to discount ISU, but they're being written off even more strongly than we are.  I'm telling you, nearly everyone has weighed in with an opinion on this, and they all have come to the conclusion that either Nebraska, KU or Missouri are still going to take this thing.  While not guaranteeing anything, those who write this K-State team off do so at their own risk.

Click the jump to see how K-State can shock the world and take the division.

Star-divide

Given the starts of the other teams in the North, it is entirely possible that 4-4 gets into a tiebreaker for this thing.  Here are the remaining schedules for all six North teams:

K-State (3-1): @Oklahoma, KU, Missouri, @Nebraska

Iowa State (2-2): @Texas A&M, Oklahoma State, Colorado, @Missouri

KU (1-2): @Texas Tech, @K-State, Nebraska, Missouri (in KC)

Nebraska (1-2): @Baylor, Oklahoma, @KU, K-State, @Colorado

Colorado (1-2): Missouri, Texas A&M, @Iowa State, @Oklahoma State, Nebraska

Missouri (0-3): @Colorado, Baylor, @K-State, Iowa State, KU (in KC)

We'll start at home with K-State.  As a coworker spent 20 minutes discussing with me today, K-State has the inside track right now, because you can't subtract wins, and K-State already has three of them.  The other posts linked above note that K-State's last four are much more difficult than their first four, but are they really?  The Oklahoma game is comparable to the Texas Tech game, one that we've written off from the get-go.  Obviously, OU looks more beatable now than before the season, but it would still be a monumental shock to win in Norman.  However, the KU and Mizzou games, at home, look eminently winnable.  Every time KU fixes one leak, another one springs up, and their ace in the hole -- Todd Reesing -- hasn't had the same magic during conference games.  Mizzou is playing a quarterback who has one good leg.  I know Mizzou fans want to believe Blaine Gabbert is just going to heal up, but as long as he has to push off that leg to throw, run around on it, and have defenders fall on it, he simply is not going to get better.  Finally, while I highly doubt we can score more than 14 points on Nebraska, that might just be enough.  Our defense is playing much better, and with Roy Helu obviously hurting and the receivers dropping (passes) like it's hot, the Husker offense isn't that scary right now.  Granted, it's in Lincoln, but I'm not ready to write it off like I was earlier.  The salient point: We only need one more win for 4-4, which looks more and more like it may get into a tiebreaker.  With home games against suddenly beatable KU and Mizzou squads, that's entirely possible.  Two wins almost wraps it up.

Interestingly, every game we play against North teams from here on out is basically an elimination game for the opponent.  If we beat KU, any hopes they could have of winning the division will die on the turf at Bill's House (how sweet that would be).  Beating Mizzou would hand the Tigers (at least) their fourth conference loss, and without the tiebreaker over us, they would be basically done.  Who knows what Nebraska will do from here on out, but with games remaining against Oklahoma and at KU, there's a very good chance they'll have at least three conference losses by the time we play them.  A win in Lincoln, while still not probable, would be the nail in the Huskers' coffin.

Iowa State is the real wildcard in all of this.  They have games remaining against a bipolar Texas A&M team, a terrible road team in Colorado, and at Missouri.  I'll go ahead and write off the Oklahoma State game, meaning they have to win two of the first three to have a chance.  That's a possibility.

As for KU, I think we all know what the beaks face.  They have suffered two losses and have road games against Texas Tech and Texas remaining.  Tech doesn't look like an unstoppable juggernaut anymore, but KU has lost consecutive games to Colorado and to Oklahoma in a blowout.  If we assume they lose both games against the South, they must run the table to have a chance, although if they do so, they are likely headed to Dallas, because they would own North tiebreakers over everyone except CU.  But if Reesing keeps throwing the ball to the other team at the rate he has been, games against K-State, Nebraska, and Mizzou are tossups.  I don't like any teams chances of winning three tossup games.

What about Mizzou?  The Tigers have had clearly the most difficult schedule through three games, and it shows.  I can't fault them for the OSU and UT games, and for three quarters they had Nebraska on the ropes.  We'll learn a lot about Mizzou in the coming weeks.  If they can beat Colorado and Baylor, we'll know they're still a contender.  If they lose either of those games, their chances will be pretty much dead before they even get to Manhattan.

I'm going to omit an extended discussion of CU's chances, because frankly I think they need to send Dan and Cody Hawkins packing to have a chance.  Plus, they can't win on the road, which almost guarantees two more losses.

So, after all that, why does K-State still have a chance?  As my colleague, BracketCat, noted today on the Postgame Reaction post, K-State is improving week-to-week, just like every single team Bill Snyder has ever coached.  And it's more important than just getting better.  Yes, they are getting better, even though the competition continues to get (marginally) more difficult.  But even more importantly, they are gaining confidence every single week.  They've gone from the team that squeaked by UMass, lost to Louisiana and UCLA, and got destroyed by Texas Tech, to the team that beat Iowa State, blew out A&M and whipped Colorado.  It's only a semi-valid point today, near the end of October, that this team lost in early September to Louisiana and UCLA.  You remember the line in college basketball that, by the time March Madness rolls around, the freshmen are basically sophomores?  It holds with this team that is picking up Snyder's system.  Anyone who has watched this team all year long knows it has improved steadily over the first eight weeks of the season.

Perhaps more importantly, while K-State is improving and gaining confidence, every other contender, save Iowa State, is facing serious issues.  Murphy's Law is attacking KU.  Missouri's quarterback is hurt and isn't getting healthy.  Nebraska can't do anything right on offense.  Colorado has a coach who thinks Cody Hawkins may be better than Tyler Hansen.

And, most importantly, this team has two home games against division contenders down the stretch, and it is coached by Bill Snyder.  Yes, the man lovingly referred to as Old Balls by rival fans has an edge, both intellectually and psychologically, on each coach he faces the rest of the way.  OK, so Bob Stoops' tremendous talent differential will likely overcome that this weekend.  But Snyder has never lost to Mark Mangino in Manhattan, has never lost to Gary Pinkel anywhere, and made Bo Pelini so mad in 2003 that Pelini chased him down and called him an asshole.

It may not happen.  But it's more possible than others think.

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Comments

Display:

it all comes down to...

Bill Snyder. As anyone who watched a K-State season before the rp era knows, Snyder’s teams always get better over the course of the year. Winning the last two home games is a very distinct possibility, and maybe more. This team will stay down to earth, and you can bet the offense will be better…just look at the defensive turnaround after its worst showing and things just keep looking up.
Its entirely possible this Cat team will be sitting at 9-3 come the end of November. Its still highly unlikely at this point, but it was also highly unlikely that OU would lose in 03…just sayin.

by jtarkman on Oct 27, 2009 12:44 AM CDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

That reminds me of another thing that's been annoying me...

All the idiots whining, “The Big 12 North is pathetic, and winning isn’t even worth it because you’ll just get pounded by the South winner in the championship game.” BULL!

First of all, if the North is so pathetic, and you’re not dominating it, YOU ARE PART OF THE PROBLEM!! Besides don’t you think it would be a great draw to tell recruits, “Hope you like playing for Big 12 championships, because with us you’ll be able to do it four straight years.”

Second, You don’t make your program better by losing! Playing not to win doesn’t help either.

Third, the team that’s a 3 TD underdog in the championship game is still going to win it a lot more often than their 5 division rivals that are sitting home watching it on TV!

Alright, rant over … but I do feel a lot better now.

by grmann on Oct 27, 2009 1:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Finally somebody who's not still drinking the stale pre-season Kool-Aid!

On the other hand I really, really hope KU and Missouri are still judging us by the Louisiana and Texas Tech losses. I’m pretty sure they’ll be in for a rude awakening. This team has shown what they’re capable of when they put everything together, and while A&M isn’t a top team, they’re not the scrubs they looked like. Even a fairly lackluster effort against CU was never really in doubt. And anybody who doesn’t have at least a modicum of respect for the ISU win obviously hasn’t been paying attention for the last month.

I really liked how Rock M Nation ID’d special teams as a K-State wildcard, ‘cause I’m pretty sure they’re more like an ace in the hole.

PS. Did anybody bother to read the KC Star’s reactions to the weekends games? They seemed almost personally affronted by K-State’s success.
Read ’em here:
http://www.kansascity.com/sports/story/1527999.html
http://www.kansascity.com/165/story/1527724.html

On the plus side ESPN is giving the ’Cats some respect.

by grmann on Oct 27, 2009 12:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for joining and commenting

For what it’s worth, I’d advise you not to worry about what the KC Star is saying. I’ve stopped reading it and linking it here, and I think a lot of BOTC’s readers have followed suit. There’s nothing in that newspaper you can’t get from Curtis Kitchen at 810 WHB, Austin Meek and Kevin Haskin at the Topeka Capital-Journal, and The Manhattan Mercury. For that matter, The Collegian’s coverage may be on par with the Star’s.

As for Rock M Nation’s comments about special teams, they were probably referring to special teams as a whole. Brandon Banks is as dangerous as anyone in the return game, but Josh Cherry is still a question mark at kicker and the punting game is ninth in the conference. Despite Cherry’s improvement, he’s probably not going to consistently make anything longer than a 30-yarder, and we’re still 11th in the conference in kicking.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 7:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's nice to be here

I wasn’t worried about the star. None of them are going to be coaching anybody or trying to make any tackles, and as long as they keep the dream alive in Lawrence and Columbia that this division is theirs to lose it just helps everyone else. I was just amused to see how completely unwilling they were to even consider that the Wildcats might actually be halfway decent.

I’ll admit that Cherry is a weak spot for FG’s, but kickoff coverage has seemed to be at least good. The ‘Cats have pinned oponents inside their own 20 on at least a couple occasions. Punting also seems to have been at least passable. CU’s average start was their own 18, and yeah, that was with an annoying number of punts from around the CU 35, but still pinning them inside the 20 still seems like it’s getting the job done. At any rate that’s just my gut reactions from listening to the games, and I’ll happily defer to your expertise on the matter.

by grmann on Oct 27, 2009 10:02 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

While I don't...

read the KC Star or the Wichita Eagle, I do read the TCJ because of the superb K-State coverage. But that also means I have to read Tully Corcoran. Although I do it more for something to tickle my funny bone than anything else. And just when I don’t think he could be any more of a KU homer, he up and redeems himself with this gem on Sunday:
"He has seemed like an alien at times, this little guy descending from the heavens unannounced and undeserved onto the Kansas football orb.

What, after all, had Kansas football ever done to deserve Todd Reesing? Why, of all the places, would such a being land here?

Why, of all possible aliens, would Kansas get a benevolent one? He wasn’t malicious. He wasn’t probing. He was small, but not green. All he ever did was throw touchdown passes and get straight As and party like a frat boy with no future, even though he had one.

But all of that is the myth and it will be the legend. Saturday revealed the truth, or something like it.

“He’s not Superman,” Ryan Murphy said."

LOFL

by Catfan33 on Oct 27, 2009 8:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why does the rest of the north hate us so much though?

Good post with Pelini, I hadn’t seen it…

At least Nebraska and KU, their fans, and sports writers want anyone but us at the top it seems. The articles still written about how we are phony make me laugh. KU winning the north now is less likely than Iowa State and I don’t get how they continue to berate how they are still the best of the north when they haven’t really beaten a good team convincingly all year. Watching NU and KU media outlets is like watching a person drowning gasping for air but saying their gonna kick your ass at the same time. Time for Snyder to shut them up for good.

Wildcat for life

by mjk7166 on Oct 27, 2009 8:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

To be fair...

…I was hoping during the preseason that just about anyone other than KU would win the division.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 8:32 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ummm.

ditto. I would be fine with KU athletics getting slapped with sanctions that knocks their programs back to the stone age.

by Catfan33 on Oct 27, 2009 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't get the idea

that everyone hates you just because they don’t think you’ll win the North.

Name a prediction that had KSU taking the North…. any at all from anywhere? Don’t forget that a lot of us thought you’d be completely out of it this year because of what Ron Prince did to you, so there’s a certain amount of “I don’t want to be wrong on my predictions” investment in the thinking right now.

As for us, any game is a toss up. Our defense is very very good. Our offense is equally as bad. There’s no point in us predicting the rest of the season because we have no idea whether the offense is going to show up that lost to Iowa State, or the one that scored 27 points in the fourth quarter to beat Missouri.

Go Big Red Nebraska!
Our Cobs Are Bigger Than Yours!
Corn Nation!
Twitter!
cornnation@gmail.com

by Jon Johnston on Oct 27, 2009 10:04 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think it's so much that people don't think we'll win as that they dismiss the possibility out of hand.

You’re definitely right the Big 12 north is a toss-up right now. ANY team that gets hot and starts ripping off some wins will take it. However, at this immediate point in time K-State is king of the hill (OK so it’s more of a molehill :-) than anything else at this point, but we’re still on top) and I think that deserves at least a modicum of recognition and an explanation of why somebody else will take over, instead of just blithely assuming that we’ll fall off of our own accord. Especially when the teams being promoted over us, probably have been playing tougher competition, but haven’t looked noticably better than us doing it.

K-State may not have been playing the best competition, but they have been winning the winnable games, up to this point. Which is more than can be said of really anyone else in the North.

by grmann on Oct 27, 2009 3:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff TB...

I tried my own little, predict-a-North and basically came up with the same conclusion – That everyone is still in this race, with the probable exception of Colorado (good for us).

The thing I "like’ about this is that every team pretty much(*) controls its own destiny. That should make for a really fun second half. Like you said, everygame K-State plays against the north is basically an elimination game for that team.

(*) Every team also needs some help, but no one really needs anything too elaborate to happen.

by hiphopopotamus on Oct 27, 2009 8:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Liked your piece...

…even if I thought you were a little rough on K-State’s chance ;-)

You’re exactly right, this is going to be one of the most interesting division races in Big 12 history. Obviously, it doesn’t have the high drama of the South last year, but every team has a realistic shot of pulling it off (although CU can’t like its chances that well right now). To make it even better, nobody can predict any game right now. I look at the line for K-State this weekend (25 initially), and thought “no way in hell would I touch that, either way.” I look at KU’s line for this weekend (7 last I saw), same thing.

What all these prognostications come down to is this: fans of each team expect that their weaknesses will disappear and they’ll go on a late charge to Dallas. K-State fans expect that the offense will get better and the last four games won’t be as difficult as we initially thought. KU fans expect that this Todd Reesing impersonator will pull the real Todd Reesing out of a hat. Nebraska fans expect that their utterly inept offense will start playing like it did against the Sun Belt. Missouri fans expect that Blaine Gabbert’s ankle will heal without two weeks of rest. Iowa State fans expect that they’ll be able to win games when the opponent doesn’t turn the ball over eight times, and maybe that Austen Arnaud and Alexander Robinson will suddenly get healthy. I won’t say CU fans expect that Dan Hawkins will suddenly realize that Tyler Hansen is their best QB, because I think they’re resigned to what they are at this point.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 10:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Couldn't have said it better myself...

It’s almost become comical how much we all think will suddenly change. To someone else’s point, it’s become easier to make argument’s against teams rather than for them, but someone has to win this thing eventually.

As to my assessment of K-State, I really don’t have an outright defense. They could easily take this thing. But pre-season I figured they’d be 6-2 (or 7-1) right now en route to a 6-6 (or 7-5) finish and I’m not yet ready to back off that, despite the underperformace of KU, NU, & MU.

For obvious reasons I don’t see them winning in Norman and while Iowa State just proved anyone can win in Lincoln, that seems like a tall order (but who knows). Seems to me like their home games will determine their fate and both are winnable. The biggest worry i’d have if I were them is figuring out a way to not be so one dimensional, because questionable as they are, both the KU and MU defenses can take away the run to put it on Gregory’s arm. In that scenario, can the KSU offense keep up with either KU’s or MU’s? I’m not so sure. Put it this way, I don’t think 20 points will get it done, like it did against Colorado.

by hiphopopotamus on Oct 28, 2009 8:36 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

While I'm not comparing...

our defense to that of Texas or OU, didn’t they limit both MU and KU respectively to under twenty points? This team has put up two very good defensive efforts in a row in holding aTm and Colorado to 14 and 6 points. TT gave up 52 points and gobs of yards to aTm and KU gave up 30 plus to CU. So I don’t think you can discount K-State’s defense against the rest of the north. Granted, the offense has been very one-dimensional and at some point the defense will not be able to take up that slack. But my point is that you just can’t come up with any one scenario for any of the north teams right now. 20 points just may, indeed, be enough to get it done against KU or MU. It’s that fucking crazy.

by Catfan33 on Oct 28, 2009 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Iowa State

I’m not buying into them as a wildcard at all. I know wins are wins and losses are losses, but are you really that impressed with them with any of their games? Sans the CU game, they are going to be really pressed for another win.

K-State game: Everyone is saying they were an extra point away from winning. Really? They were one extra point away from possibly sending the game into overtime. As long as we’re predicting things, I say K-State was one extra point away from winning by 7 after Brandon Banks returns the kickoff to the house…..

KU game: Probably their most impressive game so far. Not much to say against them here except for the fact that they lost.

Baylor game: Yeah, just like in years past, this win means just about diddly squat since it was Baylor. Moving on…

Nebraska game: This one goes into the win column sure, but I couldn’t believe all the post-game celebration the Cyclones did. Nebraska had 8 frickin’ turnovers! How in the hell do you only muster up 9 points? I don’t care if your QB and RB are out. 8 turnovers! Hell even one of the turnovers the Nebraska player just dropped the ball trying to stay inbounds! If in the history of college football there was a game where both teams deserved one in the loss column, this one was it. I’m going to put an asterisk by this one and keep the winless streak at Lincoln alive.

Introducing the new 2008 Big 12 Football Champions: OU, UT*, TT*, and MU*!
Now Introducing the new 2009 Big 12 Baseball Tournament Champions: UT, KSU*, BU*, and MU*!

by mystman995 on Oct 27, 2009 9:19 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Funny

People predict ISU to win 2-3 games and go winless in the Big 12 again….

Now that they are doing much better than anyone expected, lets just run through the schedule and talk about how it all means nothing.

If ISU does what people expect then it’s “ha ha, they’re ISU, that’s that way it goes”.

If ISU does better than people expect then people have to go through and discount everything postive they have done this year. Remember, this a team that won 5 games the previous 2 years combined… Now they win 5 this year and it’s still not good enough.

I just find it funny that KSU fans are worried about lack of respect… Try being a Cyclone fan: no matter what happens, people will find a way to pile on.

I can say that I’ve never said ISU would’ve won had they made the extra point. That mostly comes from ISU fans frustrated about losing a game in that fashion. The same can be said about KU: KU would’ve had over a minute to get into field goal range, and if you check the stats, they were moving the ball extremly well the entire game, as records were set. Had both those two plays gone well for ISU, they still could’ve lost both those games.

But can you blame casual fans? It’s so close, but being so far away. I think most fanbases would so something like this, in fact they do. Last year Iowa had a pretty solid year. Better than most expected, but Iowa fans were complaining on how they were “12 points away from being undefeated” and how they were so close yet so far from going to the Rose Bowl. ISU hasn’t been spanked by a Big 12 team (at least not yet), so ISU fans want to talk about how close the team was to being 4-0 and 6-1, possibly ranked, etc., etc., etc. It’s human nature. I would bet that K-State fans would do the same if in the same position.

I don’t think it’s so much people dissing KSU, it’s just the fact that they have 4 games left, 3 of them being tossups, and people are just more comfortable with the idea of KU, Mizzou, or NU being better (all teams you have to face down the stretch). If KSU can win 2 of those 3, the North is theirs. It’s definitley possible. Kind of nice being in a position where you control your destiny. In general, no one knows what will happen in the North from here on out.

I truley think you can powerank the North in any order and have a valid argument for it. For me, I’m enjoying seeing KSU and ISU at the top right now. It gets the MSM in a tailspin and no one knows what’s going on. It’s a lot more fun, and given KSU and ISU fans something to be excited for, instead of doing what we were at this time last year: counting down the days until basketball season.

by Mark Kieffer on Oct 28, 2009 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My Apologies

That wasn’t meant to knock ISU down from what they’ve done so far, it was just my reasoning to say that I don’t think ISU is in the mix with the North. And to be honest, I don’t agree with TB on this and I still don’t see K-State in the mix either. We are statistically still in the hunt, but then again halfway through an 8 game season everybody might still be in the hunt.

At this time of the season, this is where most of us thought we would be if we won the “winnable” games on our schedule. And we have won those, but now if you look back we don’t really have any more winnable games. The chances of us going 0-4 from here on out is greater than any other scenario.

The reason the standings look the way they do is just the randomness of the schedule. The only two things that have surprised me this season would be CU’s win over KU, and your’s (ISU) win over NU. Everything else – expected or assumed. Missouri at 0-3? Well yeah, they’ve played a tough schedule so far and the only team in the north they’ve played was one who was the favorite pick to win the division. KU at 1-2? Maybe, but there was no talk of them still being undefeated. NU at 1-2? That’s very possible given their schedule.

But back to your point about saying if K-State had only lost by X amount they could be….. Well we are one missed field goal (out of two attempts) from being 6-2 and only needing one more victory to being bowl eligible. But nobody’s saying that. I’m not a big fan of the what if’s and what could have been’s and I don’t think anybody on this site has been that way either.

Introducing the new 2008 Big 12 Football Champions: OU, UT*, TT*, and MU*!
Now Introducing the new 2009 Big 12 Baseball Tournament Champions: UT, KSU*, BU*, and MU*!

by mystman995 on Oct 28, 2009 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would agree

I wouldn’t give ISU nor KSU more than a 5% shot at winning the North… They will have to pull off an upset or two, plus count on other teams pulling off an upset or two as well.

Still though, October is almost over and the K-State/ISU fanbases have something legit to root for, regardless of the chances of it happening.

by Mark Kieffer on Oct 28, 2009 1:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Look on the bright side

At least you’re not a Colorado fan.

by BracketCat on Oct 29, 2009 1:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are KU fans crazy?

reading the comments of the article above, pretty much every KU fan thinks they are going to win the north by beating Missouri. I would love to end the conversation by just beating OU this Saturday.

Wildcat for life

by mjk7166 on Oct 27, 2009 9:50 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not a KU fan in any way, shape, or form...

But I am still counting on them winning the north. Prepare for the worst, hope for the best… as they say. We really won’t know anything for another 2 weeks.

P.S. If you haven’t done so already – buy your tickets for the KU game and request section 15. Yes, they are really crappy seats, but I really don’t want there to be a cluster of Jayhawks anywhere near me. I don’t need jail time right now, and TB can only defend me in Missouri.

PROUD & PURPLE

by ksubailey on Oct 27, 2009 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I urge all K-State fans to buy Section 15 tickets...

…because I really doubt ksubailey can get her court date continued until April 2010.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 10:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmmm...

Maybe a purple straight-jacket??? Totally kidding… I’m not THAT bad. : )

PROUD & PURPLE

by ksubailey on Oct 28, 2009 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not the case at all...

I think most of us are saying if we do stand a chance at winning the North it will take every single game culminating in having to beat Missouri at Arrowhead.

I put a fanshot up here and have commented in my own posts that K-State right now stands as good a chance as anybody. Kansas and Missouri have to travel to Manhattan and right now those are toss ups.

It isn’t that we thing we are going to win the North by beating Mizzou it’s just the final piece to the only way left for us to win it. We have to manage a victory in Manhattan first, at home against the Huskers and THEN and only then do we get a shot at it in Missouri. None are gimmes, NONE.

Some people are like Slinkies...not really good for anything but they make you smile when pushed down the stairs.

by Denverjhawk on Oct 27, 2009 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think most rational fans...

such as yourself think this way. It’s one game at a time for every single north team.

by Catfan33 on Oct 27, 2009 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's day to day now more than ever...

truthfully I’m cautious every weekend at this point until my team shows some consistency out there.

Some people are like Slinkies...not really good for anything but they make you smile when pushed down the stairs.

by Denverjhawk on Oct 27, 2009 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fans that comment...

on those stories are crazy. See Denverjhawk’s post below for a more advised view on the situation. As wide open as the north is, it would be crazy to think that beating OU would end any sort of conversation.

by Catfan33 on Oct 27, 2009 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry, but...

I don’t see 4-4 doing it. One of these teams will get it together and go 5-3. We will beat KU and MU at home (optimistic I know) and I think Nebraska may have a chance if the freshman QB gets some playing time and does anything to go 5-3 also. Either way, I like our chances of going into Lincoln with a chance to win the north by beating them.

Wildcat for life

by mjk7166 on Oct 27, 2009 10:39 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think 4-4 will win it either.

But it’s still a good possibility. That just means one team has to get hot and beat a top team in the south. It’s been a funky year no doubt.

You might want to take it easy on the optimism. A possible 8-4 overall record? Not a chance in hell. I’d be happy with a 6-6 record.

Introducing the new 2008 Big 12 Football Champions: OU, UT*, TT*, and MU*!
Now Introducing the new 2009 Big 12 Baseball Tournament Champions: UT, KSU*, BU*, and MU*!

by mystman995 on Oct 27, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it's very possible that 4-4 ties for it...

…but if that happens, things probably don’t look good for K-State. It would have to be a 4-4 tie in which we own the head-to-head over the team we tie, or it would have to be a three-way tiebreaker with either two teams we’ve beaten or where we have a better record against the other division teams.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 10:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What

you’ve never heard of asterisks?

Introducing the new 2008 Big 12 Football Champions: OU, UT*, TT*, and MU*!
Now Introducing the new 2009 Big 12 Baseball Tournament Champions: UT, KSU*, BU*, and MU*!

by mystman995 on Oct 28, 2009 2:02 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are MU and KU fans really this delusional?

I followed the links and was really pretty shocked to see that, of all things, MU fans still think they have a chance in the Big 12 North. It’d be damn hard to come back from 0-3 and win the division, especially when your qb is one-legged. KU, not your year either, and any of you discounting KSU are still relying on your preseason buzz and the KU Star. Of course Jason Whitlock doesn’t help any. The man’s never written a positive word about KSU. We booed him at a basketball game last year, which he used to write about how classless our fans apparently are. Funny the way that works.

I don’t know for sure yet, but I think if we can get 2 more wins we could have the division. How big of a statement would that be for the new Snyder era? HUGE. Realistically? I think it’s possible. I won’t commit to anything, but I think we can do it.

Proud Kansas State 2009 Graduate, KMAN Education Reporter.
EMAW

by Joesus on Oct 27, 2009 12:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think they're delusional...

…in the 2009 Big 12 North, pretty much everybody has as good a chance as anyone else at this point.

That said, they’re guilty of nothing more than what corn blight mentions above. Everybody’s conception before the season was that Nebraska was 1A, KU was 1B, and Missouri was somewhere after them. CU was a wildcard, and K-State and ISU were the cellar dwellars. Think about your own beliefs and convictions. Once they’re formed, they’re hard to let go. Those fans came into this season a) expecting to compete for the division, and b) not expecting K-State to be a threat. Throw in that there are reasons to argue that K-State may not be legit — ULL, UCLA, Texas Tech, etc. — and I can see why it’s hard to let go of that conception.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 27, 2009 10:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, that's not true...

In the RMN podcast, I predicted KU 4th.

I also bet my friend at work that KSU would finish ahead of KU in the North standings. Should have put the big money down on that.

Bring on the Cats
"Without getting into specifics, my exit involves a McFlurry machine and a video tape of risque commercials from overseas." -- Jack Donaghy

by Panjandrum on Oct 28, 2009 11:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK, everyone other than Phil Steele and Panjandrum...

…and Curtis Kitchen.

We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats

by TB on Oct 29, 2009 7:35 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did anyone else see...

We are a 28 point underdog at OU? I’m not a betting man, but I think some money could be made. With the two defenses primed I’m not sure 28 points total will be scored.

Wildcat for life

by mjk7166 on Oct 27, 2009 2:46 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Sounds about right to me.

Although it would be tempting to bet on the under on that line.

I’ve got reservations about OU’s depleted offense. They’re obviously not the powerhouse they could be when healthy, but they’ve got good enough backups to score some points. I think OU scores around the 35 point mark so it’ll be up to how much offense we can get against their defense.

Introducing the new 2008 Big 12 Football Champions: OU, UT*, TT*, and MU*!
Now Introducing the new 2009 Big 12 Baseball Tournament Champions: UT, KSU*, BU*, and MU*!

by mystman995 on Oct 27, 2009 3:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Luck on a tough road

Even after having to sit through that excruciating blocked-kick last-second loss at Arrowhead, good luck from this Cyclone fan. I know we have an outside shot to win it and all, but I feel like you guys probably have the best chance to come out of the Big 12 Champ Game on top. I’d bet a 5-3 conference record wins the North this year, though.

"I am so proud to be your coach." -Paul Rhoads

by CyHawk on Oct 27, 2009 3:13 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

FYI, you forgot KU's game against Texas in your list.

As a Penn State fan but a KC resident I don’t have a dog in the fight but I am interested in how the season will progress. I went to the Arrowhead game and the game last Saturday in Manhattan and there is a marked improvement in the quality of the offensive unit. The schemes are more fluid, the QB looks waaaay more comfortable, and the wide receivers. Still, I think KSU’s O-line and D-line will have a great deal of difficulty against the remainder of the teams left. I think that will stifle a lot of the offensive production of the ’cats.

There aren’t many of us left who have a legend prowling the sidelines, so I’ve developed a soft spot for the Wildcats, but I just don’t see this team winning the division.

by Cairo on Oct 27, 2009 4:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Respect Card

Maybe it’s because I’m over 40 now, but I don’t get all worked up about whether anyone is giving K-State respect any more. There was a time where I really was frustrated about it, but the fact of the matter is that unless we back it up with winning consistently for a long time, it doesn’t matter. Ron Prince will suck all the pride out of you.

Also, in watching KU and MU the last two years, I’ve come to understand more fully the miracle of what Bill Snyder did, and I understand that Bill will not turn things around at KSU overnight, no matter what we have done this year. Bill will succeed because he keeps his view focused on the long term, and every day is focused on reaching that goal four years down the road.

We may never be perched to win the National Championship like we were in 1998. But our players will gain the opportunity to learn the best life lessons possible, and we will get to see some very fun football for the next few years…

by TheGoodOmen on Oct 27, 2009 6:52 PM CDT reply actions   2 recs

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